Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 8, 2021

January 8, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Speight 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Jr Speed 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Exxtop 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Thorover 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Torque 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Bonno 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Pull a Freddie 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Nothin’ Mizzen 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ms Big Spring 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 My Little Rose 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Socially Astray 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Shes One Mad Momma 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Blessed Beast 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Myfirstexwife 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Itsenough 15.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sweet Story 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Watchin the Wheels 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Scatnap 1.40 2.9 6-1
3 3 Oblio’s Wish 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Lillie’s Heat 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Nymue’s Treasure 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Interest 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Descente 1.40 2.1 4-1
5 5 Free to Fly 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Tiz Possible Dear 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Witch Hunter 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Etana 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dana Grace 10.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Uncaptured Soldier 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Kicks On Sixty Six 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Top Boss 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Heavenly Blessing 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Savatiano 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Competitive Hero 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Emit 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Florala Al 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 King Tarzan 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Gege Conquest 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tio Wil 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Moonoverthebayou 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Gangly 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Apache 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Reservenotattained 1.80 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sandys Blaze 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nitro Time 1.80 1.8 3-1
7 6 Alabama Slammer 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Exchange Day 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Our Hoisted Mast 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 C. P. A. Genius 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Mr Tingles 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Under the Couvers 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Let’s Be Honest 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Comp’d 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Bramble Berry 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sunset Empire 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Shes All Woman 4.00 4 7-1
1 1 Sayonara Baby 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uncage the Cat 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Surprise Factor 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Hushed Hijinks 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Soul Reflection 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Star Weaver 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Our Destiny 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Balaban 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Wild One Forever 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Valid Exchange 20.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Sage Canyon 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Supplication 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Six Minus 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 8 Lord of War 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 6 Big Blue 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Golovkin 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Tiz Tact Toe 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Load Up Moe 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 10 Bourbon Thunder 15.00 6 11-1
10 9 Maclyrical 20.00 6.1 11-1
3 2 Lumberjack 30.00 9 17-1
12 11 Uncut Gem 30.00 10 19-1
2 2 Will Take Control 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Now a Jaguar 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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