January 8, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shilah Baby | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Dudette | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Altered Dream | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sworn Silence | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Much About It | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenai Cool | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Melody Rose | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Gold Account | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dreaming of Carats | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pharaoh’s Kitten | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | My Sugar Town | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | O’Connor | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayandbunny | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Gun It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fiat Lux | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | News Break | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dictator | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half Trick | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Citali | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Evangelist | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gato Americano | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Colonel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Greeley Went West | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | War Count | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Im a Cowboy Too | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kingdom Way | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Musical Man | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cabo’s Rumor | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Four Sevens | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Extra Mile | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Papa’s Boy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Watrugonnadokaren | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talented Tapper | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Katie’s Karat | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Mad Tabby | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Business Lady | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Wave of Goodness | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Baby Maybe | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Blue Xchange | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | My Little Guera | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Aiken to Be | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Yes It’s Ginger | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Sterling Miss | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 1 | Lillie Dell | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2B | 5 | Haynesfest | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Luvin Bullies | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 7 | Perfect Reins | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Whimsical Muse | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Originator | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Railman | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Deanos Cape | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blueridge Mountain | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Can Imagine | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Populist | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Money Biz | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jackfruit | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Oso Negro | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Clean Fun | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jazz It Up | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Da Gold Room | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Powder River | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Mine | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ceant | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sail On Ellen | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Hot Babe | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Beautiful Bella | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chick Be Quick | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Slime Queen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cloud Ten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Artie | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Underrated | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Catcake | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ezee Enough | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somekindawicked | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodnight Gracie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Say Yes Again | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Pegasus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.