Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 7, 2021

January 7, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Zenucci 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Warriors Gem 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Club Soda 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Rock Me 6.00 5.2 10-1
2B 8 Park Ridge Benny 4.50 5.4 10-1
1A 6 Riv 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 2 Caymans Cobra 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Catalogue 6.00 8.2 16-1
2 3 Firewater Jake 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tribute Galaxy 3.50 2 4-1
8 7 Gifted Talent 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Explosively Hot 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Grand Isle Girl 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 4 Kuhlke 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lucky Harborage 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Party With Kassidy 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 The Missing Piece 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shakin Silver 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Perfecture 5.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Ima Sunny Song 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Runnin Brave 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Grey Sloan 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Go Ortego Go 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Muletrain 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Minister’s Medal 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Bestbangforyabuck 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 The Three Ks 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Offspring 1.60 1.5 3-1
7 4 Net a Bear 1.80 2.2 4-1
5 3 Fort Polk 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Schiff’s Corner 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Is Too 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Southern Liaison 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Marywood 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Limage 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 6 Big Red Rose 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 5 Glance 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 8 See What’s What 6.00 4.4 8-1
1A 7 Lucky Dare 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 3 War Bandit 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Christeana’s Kiss 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Marrazano 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 9 Katie the Cutie 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Killeen 5.00 2.4 5-1
9 6 Overzealous 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 5 Money Trend 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Forestdungone 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Cap Rock Miner 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Shirl’s Ready 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 King of Candy 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Executive Bonus 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Half Ours to Keep 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Freedom Factor 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Chop Chop Charlie 3.50 3.1 6-1
11 9 Singandcryindubai 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Son of a Saint 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Woman With a Book 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Skycraft 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lead Star 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Flash Attack 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Chaosmos 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Dickinson’s Image 30.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Run Tappy 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bye Bye Shanghai 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 3 The Green Mo’ster 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Canihaveitlikethat 8.00 5 9-1
4 2 Epic (ARG) 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 4 Harvey Wallbanger 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 1 Honovi 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Star of Kodiak 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Majestic Sign 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Untraceable 4.00 SCRATCH
7 8 On a Spree 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lil Adeau 4.00 1.8 3-1
1A 6 Custom for Aly 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Heart That Binds 2.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Ma Cher Amio 8.00 4 8-1
5 4 G’s a Looker 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Abigail G 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Ibegtodiffer 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Flat Out Crypto 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Our Starlet 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Who Dat Grey 30.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Julia’s Chance 30.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Grace’s Gal 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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