January 7, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Zenucci | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warriors Gem | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Club Soda | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rock Me | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Park Ridge Benny | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Riv | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Caymans Cobra | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Catalogue | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Firewater Jake | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tribute Galaxy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gifted Talent | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Explosively Hot | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Isle Girl | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kuhlke | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Harborage | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Party With Kassidy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Missing Piece | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shakin Silver | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfecture | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ima Sunny Song | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runnin Brave | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grey Sloan | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Ortego Go | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muletrain | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Minister’s Medal | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bestbangforyabuck | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Three Ks | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Offspring | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Net a Bear | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fort Polk | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Schiff’s Corner | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Is Too | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Southern Liaison | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Marywood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Limage | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Big Red Rose | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Glance | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | See What’s What | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Lucky Dare | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | War Bandit | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Christeana’s Kiss | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Marrazano | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Katie the Cutie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Killeen | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Overzealous | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Money Trend | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forestdungone | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cap Rock Miner | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shirl’s Ready | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King of Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Executive Bonus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Half Ours to Keep | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Freedom Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Chop Chop Charlie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Singandcryindubai | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Son of a Saint | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woman With a Book | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skycraft | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lead Star | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Flash Attack | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chaosmos | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dickinson’s Image | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Tappy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | The Green Mo’ster | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canihaveitlikethat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Epic (ARG) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Harvey Wallbanger | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honovi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Star of Kodiak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Sign | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Untraceable | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | On a Spree | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lil Adeau | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Custom for Aly | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heart That Binds | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ma Cher Amio | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | G’s a Looker | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abigail G | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ibegtodiffer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Crypto | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Starlet | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Who Dat Grey | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Julia’s Chance | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace’s Gal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.