January 6, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Sunrise | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Torch of Honor | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queezer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaky Freak | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Glory to Me | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Into Victory | 1.80 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Midnight | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Intentions | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hallajoori | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hennys Grinning | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Reason Why | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Firstslate | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Purgatory | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Even Pandura | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wink Texas | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anothersunnyday | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dont Float the Ice | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mamas Gone Crazy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Robtadi Storm | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Curlin | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wayne’s Hope | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shady Grady | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Beaux Victory | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bassett | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Callthewolfe | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Matter | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Counterfeit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Luis | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Run Away Son | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Nomorequestions | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ellerbe | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss of the Wolf | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Singinginthewind | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack’s Kiss | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Saved At Sea | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Punky Monkey | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G Cisive | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whiskey’s Gone | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Song | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crocodile Jacques | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Rodeo | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drewtempo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy Bill | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Second Guess | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zipzaptime | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Slammin’ Mike | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m d’Cat | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beta Lover | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lighthawk | 1.40 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Front Page | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Such | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Diplome | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Sunrise | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Omega | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brazoswildcat | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Prince | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Makeithappen | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasin Gracie | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smarty Grimes | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baptism | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Young Hendrick | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Perfect Graydar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ice Peak | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Nana’s Joy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Boss Lady Melissa | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paddy O | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Skeeter | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moonfield | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honest Woman | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mostly Awesome | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fianna Hills | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mo Gayle | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ruby Sioux | 1.60 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honest N Lucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hail State | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Amigo Charlie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alterana | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Jones | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Bab | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Friday’s Best | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Bode | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Actor | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toni’s Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | May Hour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tactical Priority | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cheveyo | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Believer | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Revolt | 1.80 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touch of Gold | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trophy Daddy | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hip Four O Four | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Custom Kat | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Call | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr True | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Redding | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Oops Wediditagain | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dusty Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.