Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 4, 2021

January 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nastida Mast 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 That’s D ‘cat 15.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Moment 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Cajun Pinata 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ship Stalker 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Blue Bomber 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Magic Vow 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Hatties Jewel 1.80 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Yonna She Goes 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Byanymeans 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tap City Baby 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Weneedtotalk 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Quick Rae Rae 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Mizz Tutu 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Daylight Deelite 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Royal Alexandra 1.60 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Kasens Train 10.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Slow 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 2 Last to Know 1.40 1.5 3-1
1A 11 Cowboy Brad 12.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Prince Perfecta 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 1 Comerunninboys 20.00 1.7 3-1
1 4 Zion’s Call 12.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Magawildtime 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Wheels Turning 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 3 Gotiger Special 8.00 9 17-1
9 8 Morricone 4.50 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Enduring Peace 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Birdie Call 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 K R Lucky Day 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Twin Sisters 1.80 6 11-1
2 2 My Kiki 8.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Totally Grace 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Miss Nitap 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Mrs. Judy 3.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Greeley’s Dealer 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Donwell 10.00 2.6 5-1
1A 6 Why God 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Mistake Present 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Thetrashmanscoming 10.00 4 8-1
2 1 Zing Zang 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Candizar 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Paddy O’Dini 1.80 6 11-1
3 2 Nippy Red 6.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Invader 20.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Jennifer’s Arch 12.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Hanging Lake 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Eye On the Ladies 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Fiery Flash 1.60 4.6 9-1
9 9 Mamma Says 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Eurobouttogetit 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Bliss La Vie 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 I’m All Mixed Up 5.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Raising the Roof 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Cherokee Bless 10.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 She’s the Boss 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baylor 15.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Star Gaze 12.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Zao’s Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sundereya 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Kris T. 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Take Charge Gal 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Blue Suade Guitar 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Angelina’s Heaven 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Matapan 5.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Naughty Me 4.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sam’s Town S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Extirpator 10.00 2 4-1
7 6 Boldor 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Well Connected 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Firecrow 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Palvera 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Verrazano First 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Tapizars Secret 6.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Secular Nation 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Shangroyal 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Featherinherhalo 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Broke and Praying 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Don’t Blink Twice 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Wild Charlie 20.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Miss Private Eye 30.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 I’ll Fly Away 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Missbudlitelime 6.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Be a Bandit 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Stop the Friend 4.50 9.4 18-1
10 9 Louisiana Special 1.80 9.7 18-1
5 5 Executive Council 10.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Crapaud 3.50 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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