January 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nastida Mast | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | That’s D ‘cat | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moment | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Pinata | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ship Stalker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Bomber | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Vow | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hatties Jewel | 1.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yonna She Goes | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Byanymeans | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap City Baby | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weneedtotalk | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Rae Rae | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizz Tutu | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daylight Deelite | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Alexandra | 1.60 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Kasens Train | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Slow | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Last to Know | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Cowboy Brad | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Prince Perfecta | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Comerunninboys | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Zion’s Call | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magawildtime | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wheels Turning | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gotiger Special | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Morricone | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enduring Peace | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Birdie Call | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K R Lucky Day | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twin Sisters | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Kiki | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Totally Grace | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Nitap | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Judy | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Greeley’s Dealer | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donwell | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Why God | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mistake Present | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thetrashmanscoming | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zing Zang | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Candizar | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paddy O’Dini | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nippy Red | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Invader | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jennifer’s Arch | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hanging Lake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eye On the Ladies | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fiery Flash | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mamma Says | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eurobouttogetit | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bliss La Vie | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m All Mixed Up | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raising the Roof | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cherokee Bless | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s the Boss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baylor | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Gaze | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zao’s Dreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sundereya | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Kris T. | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Gal | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Suade Guitar | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Angelina’s Heaven | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matapan | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Me | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sam’s Town S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Extirpator | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Boldor | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Well Connected | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Firecrow | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palvera | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Verrazano First | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tapizars Secret | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secular Nation | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shangroyal | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Featherinherhalo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Broke and Praying | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Blink Twice | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Charlie | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Private Eye | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’ll Fly Away | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Missbudlitelime | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Be a Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Friend | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Louisiana Special | 1.80 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Executive Council | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crapaud | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.