Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 3, 2021

January 3, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Arbutus 15.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Soul Planet 20.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Princess Georgia 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Lady Macho 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Strella’s War 0.80 4 8-1
1 1 In Class 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Thunderturtle 3.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cinconola 10.00 0.7 1-1
4 4 One Smart Cookie 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Infinite Reward 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Cool Enough 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Gary Doing Biz 4.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 My Way Or Else 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Double Fireball 3.50 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Off the Record 4.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Twinstinct 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Whats the Chances 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Xmasinthecity 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Exchange Fever 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Kissedthegirls 15.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Little Bay 15.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Scarlet Tanager 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Quest of Glory 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sally’s Mustang 12.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Keepyourskateson 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Curiosity Kills 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Ephemeral 30.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 My My Girl 0.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 Chargina 15.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Good Measure 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Circle Game 8.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Yesterdaysplan 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Its a Journey 3.50 2 4-1
11 11 Sweet Home Dixie 20.00 2 4-1
5 5 Mortal Storm 15.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Wildcat Cartridge 12.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Annika Gold 5.00 2.5 5-1
8A 8 Take Me Home 8.00 3.6 7-1
1A 1 I’ll Take the Cake 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Union Song 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gennie Highway 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sweet Maggie Mae 15.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Admire 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Prince James 6.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Society’s Tiger 15.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Flat Out Flying 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 McElmore Avenue 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Saltin’ the Rim 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Al Brown 30.00 2 4-1
9 9 Benandjoe 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Tom Hagen 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Sassy King 20.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Sea Ghost 20.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Star Sign 12.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 River Crosroad Rvf 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Commissioner Biggs 3.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Fugitive 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Papa Tony 10.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 I’d Like to Know 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 More Twirl 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Seven Plus Seven 15.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Golazo 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Mega Millions 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Redacted Report 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pianzi 12.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Dixie Drawl 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Tap the Mark 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Zabracadabra 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Paradise Pride 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Walk Away Joe 15.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Plot the Dots 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Automate 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aprilness 1.80 1.4 3-1
9 9 Miss Moreno 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Lazy Michelle 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Golden Moon Shine 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Hello Gracie 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Rockinhippiechick 15.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Pond Hockey 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Lady Quintessa 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Slip Slidin 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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