Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 3, 2021

January 3, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Generic Joe (IRE) 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Under the Couvers 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 American Matters 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Party of No 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Alado 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Twelve O One 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Deputy Indy 15.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Duel Fuel 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Ninja 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Royal Biz 20.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Friar Tuck 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Unimpeached 30.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Trinni Summer 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kasim 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Mach One 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Hillbilly Logic 2.50 3 6-1
10 8 Kolohe Prince 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Dropped Anchor 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Midnight Tequila 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Bella Future 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Dassult Mirage 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Champion Up 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Work Ethic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Southern Passage 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Seazan 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Top Gun Tommy 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Hercules 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Hygh I. Q. 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Cuate 10.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Curlin’s Catch 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Deemed Essential 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 Viva La Red 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Tabor Hall 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Alwaysinmotion 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Caught Looking 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Len Lo Lady 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Lunar Blast 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kitten’s Covergirl 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Foxxy Belle 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 My Sarasota Star 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Liza Star 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Swirling Candy 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 We Miss Susie 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Follow Me Mom 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Born Again 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 6 Baffle ‘Em 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Search Results 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 5 Platinum Frolic 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 8 Red Wind 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 7 Frankly My Dear 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 4 Sheza Happy Girl 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Emunah 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Spin That Tune 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mine for Passion 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bad Beat Brian 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Souper Highvoltage 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Cool Hand Coop 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sovereign Warrior 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 King of Rock 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Allegedly Perfect 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 No Nay Maybe (IRE) 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Embattled 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 January Won 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Starship Aramis 3.00 2.9 5-1
10 9 Iconic 6.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Powerful Ally 8.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Surf Shack 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Quasar Moon 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mystical Moon 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Doctor D J 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Monmouth Dr 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Takedown 30.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Swing West 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Max’s Causeway 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Myamanoi 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Shining Through 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mr. Who 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Sharetheblame 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Vintage Kitten 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Yadi 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Plenum 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Sir Hoski 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Guess First 30.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Riggins 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Aladdin Sane 30.00 10.4 20-1
12 12 Jegos Fire 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Glory of Florida 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Well Defined 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Crea’s Bklyn Law 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Zonic 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Blessed Journey 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Like You 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Rebelde 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Lusitano 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Mission Possible 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 On a Tour 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 High Fashion 5.00 3 6-1
6 5 Map Em Up 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 Backstretchbeauty 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Khozan’s Secret 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Foxtrot Seville 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Keitany 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Chips and Salsa 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Wecallherqueenmary 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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