Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 2, 2021

January 2, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Waraire 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Frasard (GB) 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mulholland Highway (IRE) 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 On Easy Street 2.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Holy Emperor 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Uncle Ray 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Afleeting Life 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Silent Musketier 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Oculus 50.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Popular Kid 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 4 Tizhotndusty 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Crooked Finger Ray 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Coalinga Road 1.80 3.5 7-1
6 6 Next Flight 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lightning Fast 6.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Smitten by Kitten 3.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Hyland Haven 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Freedom Flyer 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Shvere Arbeter 4.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Stressed 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 American Heights 8.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Golden Journey 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 The Gee Factor 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Judy With Grace 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Military Princess 50.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Claro Que Si 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Little Miss Ellie 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Raneem 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Brittle and Yoo 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Queen Stormborn 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Flat Out Joy 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Ragged Rose 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 K P Kan Do 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Karalinka 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Bleu Ballon 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Avisse 3.50 2.5 5-1
10 9 Katerini 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Majestic Steps (IRE) 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Malibu Hannah 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Jeanne B 50.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Tiergarten 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kershaw 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 7 Paladar 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Tizamagician 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ekklesia 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bold Endeavor 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Shooters Shoot 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 King Abner 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Potantico 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Fortune Ticket 30.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Kanderel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Gabriel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Anothertwistafate 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Count Again 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Bowies Hero 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Multiplier 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cleopatra’s Strike 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Next Shares 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bob and Jackie 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sham S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Life Is Good 0.40 1.8 3-1
3 3 Parnelli 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Medina Spirit 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Uncle Boogie 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Waspirant 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brandothebartender 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 El Tigre Terrible 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ghoul (BRZ) 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Encoder 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Sparky Ville 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Ultimate Bango 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Lincoln City 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mesut 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Prodigal Son 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Oiseau de Guerre 15.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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