Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 2, 2021

January 2, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Talega Dinero 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 Ill Will 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mystic Moon 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Anonymous Source 15.00 5 10-1
8 7 Princess Merida 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Mudslide Wicked 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 Fina 30.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Mama Longlegs 30.00 8.7 16-1
9 8 Gregs Posse 30.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Alluring Rumba 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Miahsolomiah 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Hard Game 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 5 Nona Rac 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Navajo Creed 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Geometrico 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 4 Silver Dollar City 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 V. I. P. Who 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Lisa’s First Love 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Neverenoughcoco 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Chill Haze 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 2 The Reign Man 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Yes for Less 4.00 3 6-1
4 3 First Homestead 3.00 3.4 7-1
7 6 Cool Dixie Man 15.00 5 9-1
2 1 Black Hope 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Pricey Victory 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Midnight Whiskey 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Dania Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kentucky Pharoah 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Fighting Force 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 It’s a Gamble 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Cave Hill 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Lauda Speed 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Omaha City 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Like a Saltshaker 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Glitter Woman S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Shop Girl 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Lucifers Lair 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 4 Hit the Woah 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Dial to Win 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Gone to Cabo 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Competitive Speed 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Dancing Crane 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Theregoesjojo 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Morning Stride 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Prince of Arabia 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Good Old Boy 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Souper Jaguar 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Rijeka (IRE) 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Durocher 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Trouble Coffee 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 King of Spades 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Limehouse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Ocean Ride 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Runway Magic 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Drain the Clock 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Highway Bound 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Tiger 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Warrior’s Pride 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Newyearsblockparty 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Willy Boi 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Prayer Book 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Floriform 5.00 2.9 6-1
12 12 Winfromwithin 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Crew Dragon 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 American Great 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Listowel Lad 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Command Central 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 El Socio 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Two Princes 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Please the Pharoah 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 High Yield Kitten 30.00 10 19-1
13 13 Uncut Gem 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Al Hilal 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ginger Brew S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Designer Ready 4.50 2 4-1
4 3 Inthewinnerscircle 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Con Lima 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 2 Honey Pants 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 I Get It 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Karakatsie 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Sweet Pearl 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 1 Viking Queen 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Oyster Box 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mucho Macho Man S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Big Thorn 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Pickin’ Time 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Kiger 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Mutasaabeq 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 5 Awesome Gerry 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 Easy Time 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Raison d’Air 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Ultimate Badger 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Papetu 20.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Jirafales 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Golden Decision 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Go Poke the Bear 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Blameless 5.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Monongahela 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Fielder 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Troubling Moon 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Willing to Speed 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Light Fury 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Artemus Bridge 12.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Memorable 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Patriot Drive 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Street Copper 20.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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