January 1, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goalie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rustic Canyon | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lure Him In | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keystone Field | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Three Ay Em | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | M Town Gem | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hong Kong Cowboy | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ronamo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Meso | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Contessa | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paige Runner | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Stop Lookin | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Creed | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Irish Aura | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Pamela | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Translate | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naansense | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shezaghost | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Devil | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nurse Goodbody | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rays Darlinkle | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Ride | 50.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Grace | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Destiny’s Journey | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Side Effect (GB) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lulumaru | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Window | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blushing Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Follow the Lute | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Got No Munny | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Vicious | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Mystery | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Verracity | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Fury | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bushido’s Way | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Little H Man | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen’s Code | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catemaco | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Racer | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Square Root | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scary Fast Smile | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Chewbacca | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stir the Pot | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Joe Hernandez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Texas Wedge | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Valour (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hembree | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | P R Radio Star | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blitzkrieg | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wildman Jack | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chaos Theory | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Encoder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Oiseau de Guerre | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mesut | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ohio (BRZ) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Rejoyce | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Prince | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gate Speed | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Diablo Rojo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holden the Lute | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eel Point | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threearchbaymafia | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat White | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Dance | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amanofmystature | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gregory’s Pride | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Your World | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Got Curly | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Me B Bubba T | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Butkus | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hubris | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zoffa | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harbored Memories | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Story | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Chief | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goldini | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sierra Pass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.