Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 1, 2021

January 1, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Goalie 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Rustic Canyon 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Lure Him In 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Keystone Field 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Storm the Bastille (FR) 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Three Ay Em 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 M Town Gem 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Hong Kong Cowboy 30.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Ronamo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Meso 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Noble Contessa 1.80 1.9 4-1
6 5 Paige Runner 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Don’t Stop Lookin 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Posh Holly (IRE) 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Imperial Creed 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Irish Aura 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Awesome Pamela 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Translate 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 6 Naansense 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Shezaghost 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sweet Devil 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Nurse Goodbody 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Rays Darlinkle 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Wild Ride 50.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eternal Endeavour (GB) 2.50 2 4-1
7 6 Just Grace 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Destiny’s Journey 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Side Effect (GB) 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Lulumaru 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mongolian Window 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Blushing Bay 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Follow the Lute 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 I Got No Munny 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Tiz Vicious 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Midnight Mystery 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mr Verracity 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Candy Fury 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Bushido’s Way 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Little H Man 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Queen’s Code 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Catemaco 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Star Racer 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Square Root 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Scary Fast Smile 2.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Starship Chewbacca 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Stir the Pot 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Joe Hernandez S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Texas Wedge 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 True Valour (IRE) 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Hembree 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 P R Radio Star 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Blitzkrieg 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Wildman Jack 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Chaos Theory 4.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Encoder 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Oiseau de Guerre 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mesut 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ohio (BRZ) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Let’s Rejoyce 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Dark Prince 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Gate Speed 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 El Diablo Rojo 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Holden the Lute 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Eel Point 2.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Threearchbaymafia 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Flat White 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Union Dance 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amanofmystature 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Gregory’s Pride 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Rock Your World 3.50 2.9 5-1
10 10 Got Curly 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Me B Bubba T 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Butkus 10.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Hubris 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Zoffa 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Harbored Memories 15.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Great Story 15.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Eagle Chief 12.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Goldini 15.00 8.8 17-1
13 13 Sierra Pass 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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