Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 1, 2021

January 1, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Frankee Merch 15.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dynamic Day 15.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Gaming Jack 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Theduke of Hazzard 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 You Are Awesome 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Hazels Little Man 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Natty Beau 4.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Warm Sunny Breeze 1.80 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nine Mast 20.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Cowgirl Night 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Sick Pack Sara 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Egg Nog 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Drinknwhiskeynrye 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Claire’s Darling 3.50 6.5 12-1
5 5 Empty Pockets 4.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Italian Dressing 5.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maximus Midani 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Silent Malice 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Jammin Still 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Bear Force Won 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Bellarmine Hall 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Tauber 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Captain Thunder 12.00 2 4-1
6 6 Doobiedoobiedoobie 12.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mine Not Mine 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Padrino’s Heart 20.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Marden 15.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Mr Thrifty 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 The Poser 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Youngest of Five 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Hot N Spicy Love 30.00 2 4-1
2 2 Toy 5.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mit Mazel 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Trip to Freedom 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Kewpie Doll 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Unrequited Love 15.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Mischiefs Model 2.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Breeze Off the Bay 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Supreme Blessing 30.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Sublimity 20.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boom Boom Gone 12.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Nana’s Shoes 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Don’t Charge It 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Ragtime Suzy 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Calypso Ghost 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Floating By 20.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Makin’ Out 4.50 2.7 5-1
6A 6 Wowwhatabrat 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Molly’s Game 12.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Misdriven 3.00 15.4 29-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tybalt 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 My Friends Beer 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Still Having Fun 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Hanalei’s Houdini 10.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Factor It In 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Fiber and Emily 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Speightsford 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Press My Bets 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Inside Risk 4.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Seany P 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Jovis 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Hard Fought 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 No More Talk 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Belle Tapisserie 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Dial Operator 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Perfect Cover 30.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Jammer 30.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Let’s Play Nine 8.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zola B 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Rye Street 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Lady Fox 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Po Dunk 15.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Time Travel 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 R Awesum Betty 12.00 2 4-1
10 10 Maliceinthepalace 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Carrot Cake 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Running On Entry 12.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Abilify 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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