January 1, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Toodaloo to You | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Bound | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | C’Estbon C’Estbon | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lexi Em | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Monarchos Prayer | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Big Money | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sucre | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Custom for Carlita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lookit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baquero’s Bind | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Grand Priority | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Totally Addicted | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Good Old Charlie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Roger’s World | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Babe Reed | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ide B Stranded | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starvictory | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bitsy’s Other Half | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Irish Bayou | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Bucky | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Ekaterinoslav | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Jackfruit | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Goforthewinecourse | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Pastor Van | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Freightrainfreeman | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Silent Cry | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mayberry Saloon | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Breeze Rider | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tupelo Hon E | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shake D Moon | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Better Biz | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Longleggedlaverne | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Over the Blues | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Malartach | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belmar Beauty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Love of My Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Navy Regatta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bee Balm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bella Belle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Street | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Available Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Herewecometogetyou | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knockalittlelouder | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loveu and Proudofu | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love That Warrior | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jennovodka | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pillage Da Village | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Lynchburg | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Pat Daddy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Hitters Park | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Bye Bye Birdstone | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | O’L Red | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Western Trouble | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Richard’s Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Catalogue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | More Abundance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dowse’s Beach | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hotfoot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Mucho Macho Momma | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Momaria | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Save | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bold Confection | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Breonna | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Firingtothefront | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Only Kidding | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 4 | Figure It Out | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Chikara | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sensible Myth | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Spartanka | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Threewickedwishes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jeanie B (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Russian Mafia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kettle Valley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Aife | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Originator | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Wishing Belle | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Linda Got Lucky | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Your My Sunshine | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diamond and Silks | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Got Wings | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Two More Barbo | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Wheres Mom | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Cast Your Crown | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Brightnmorningstar | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dad’s Star Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.