December 31, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Habobanero | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Navy Queen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silk From Heaven | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Aguililla | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Rafaela | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Sunrise | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shylock Eddie | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Florentine Diamond | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ballet Royalty | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Envy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sofi’s Gold | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady O’Prado | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariah Girl (ARG) | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Jamboree | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Mischief | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samandah | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart River | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | C Falls | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Leaving You | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talking | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoop Dream | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antithetical | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamer’s Reality | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallant Warren | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oscar Nod | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Varoma | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Misericors | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You’re All Talk | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Star | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Jewel | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cold Brew Kelly | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Felicidad Legada | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haynespun | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Award | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flag Salute | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ever Ready | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Candy Girl | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St Helena | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Agata | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothlikebuttah | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bingos System | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Expensive | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mensa On Tap | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | King of Speed | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | California Street | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parsimony | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kneedeepinsnow | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leading Score | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shashashakemeup | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Blue Norther S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Javanica | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pizzazz | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Absolute Scenes (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carpe Fortuna | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Michalska | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Blend | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Quest | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carte Blanche | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Admirably | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eustace | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Old Indian Trick | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Satchel de Ritches | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Sunshine | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cause and Effect | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Heart Awakens | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alcools | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Disco Ball | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cosmo | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Unit | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Explosive | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywoodhellraisr | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Dinski | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | McWherter | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Oliver | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johan Zoffani (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Witch’s Vow | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Charlie | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 98 | 98 | Paradise Forever | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.