Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 31, 2020

December 31, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Habobanero 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Navy Queen 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Silk From Heaven 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 La Aguililla 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Sweet Rafaela 3.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Midnight Sunrise 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Shylock Eddie 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Florentine Diamond 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Ballet Royalty 30.00 7.7 15-1
10 9 Envy 20.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Sofi’s Gold 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady O’Prado 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Mariah Girl (ARG) 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Midnight Jamboree 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 True Mischief 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Samandah 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Heart River 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 C Falls 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 I’m Leaving You 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Talking 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Hoop Dream 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Antithetical 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Dreamer’s Reality 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Gallant Warren 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Oscar Nod 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Varoma 2.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Misericors 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 You’re All Talk 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Winter Star 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Malibu Jewel 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Cold Brew Kelly 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Felicidad Legada 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Haynespun 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Award 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Flag Salute 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Miss Ever Ready 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Warrens Candy Girl 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 St Helena 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Agata 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Smoothlikebuttah 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Bingos System 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 She’s Expensive 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Mensa On Tap 50.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 King of Speed 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 3 California Street 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Parsimony 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Kneedeepinsnow 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Leading Score 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Shashashakemeup 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Blue Norther S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Javanica 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Pizzazz 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Absolute Scenes (IRE) 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Carpe Fortuna 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Michalska 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Royal Blend 20.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Quattroelle (IRE) 2.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Derby Quest 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carte Blanche 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Admirably 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Eustace 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Old Indian Trick 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Satchel de Ritches 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 My Sunshine 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Cause and Effect 12.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 My Heart Awakens 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Alcools 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Disco Ball 3.50 1.9 4-1
11 11 Cosmo 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Absolute Unit 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Explosive 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Hollywoodhellraisr 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Sky Dinski 30.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 McWherter 5.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Sir Oliver 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Johan Zoffani (IRE) 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Witch’s Vow 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Flying Charlie 30.00 9.8 19-1
98 98 Paradise Forever 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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