Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 31, 2020

December 31, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fernwood Drive 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 No Fooling Dude 12.00 4 7-1
2 2 Bouncing Around 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Decorated 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Pitching Ari 2.50 7.3 14-1
7 7 Bourbon Street 8.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 To the Front 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sea Lover 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Candygramformongo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ferocious Storm 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Iron Pearls 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Steady Eddie 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Lucian 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Grey Invasion 30.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Aloysius Luck 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Big Daddy Buzz 3.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Dr. Ferber 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ga Ga Gizmo 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fed Policy 3.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Don’tbaggagecheck 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Tweet Away Robin 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Instinctive 15.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Win Then Grin 12.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Girl Next Door 10.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Splasherstown 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Frontier Woman 4.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Voila Baby 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Documented 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Imagine Winning 15.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Zen Pi 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Fast Cash 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Royal Thunder 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Degas 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Point Driven 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Goodluckjohnathan 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Ice Rain 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Daper’s Drink 20.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Come and Get Me 10.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Malibu Heaven 12.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Lifespan 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Kukulkan 20.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Spanish Czar 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Chauffeur 3.50 2 4-1
9 9 Start the Parade 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Crying for More 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lambano 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mr. Shades of Gray 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rip Rap Riley 5.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Daystrike 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Start With Yes 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Once More Eh 30.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Mystic Times 10.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Rocket Road 15.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Proud Enough 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 The Forty Factor 8.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Flat Rate 30.00 3 6-1
3 3 Tale of E Dubai 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Ankle Monitor 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 1 Long Point Beach 20.00 1.5 3-1
1 4 Baby Boss 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Bobby’s Goldengirl 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Quiet Imagination 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Money Fromheaven 15.00 2 4-1
3 2 Naughty Thoughts 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Coconut Cake 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Gracetown 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 9 Decoupage 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Indy Takes Charge 2.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Patriotic Punch 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Divided Sky (IRE) 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Dance and Dance 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Wanderlust 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 C’Est Mardi 15.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Escape Fund 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sarah’s Treasure 6.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unequivocal 10.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Successful Zip 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 In Him With Him 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Invest 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Belfour 1.60 1.5 3-1
9 9 Big Hambone 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 King Mauro 20.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Keeping the Peace 20.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Irishtown 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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