Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 31, 2020

December 31, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Da Gold Room 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Maga Country 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Hooperdrivesthboat 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Range of Motion 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Dublin Yinz Money 8.00 5 9-1
7 6 Good Ride Cowboy 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Taino House 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Guice 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Swot Analysis 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 Perfect Perigee 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Jimmy Two Times 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Bunkie’s Song 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Creole Charlie 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Adieu Le Chat 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Smittys Barracuda 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 6 Thetruthisthetruth 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 1 Philly Wins 3.50 2.9 5-1
11 9 Speedy Dudette 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 Platinum Queen 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Sho Nuff 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 5 Mercedes Ladies 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 2 Steph’s Spirit 12.00 7 13-1
1 4 Opps My Bad 15.00 7.9 15-1
1A 12 Devil With a Dash 15.00 SCRATCH
2 11 She’s My Priority 12.00 SCRATCH
2B 13 Eve’s Delight 12.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Hotmolly 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 American Legend 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lady Anna 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Black Kat Taps 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Free 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gianna’s Gift 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Tiz Susan Ann 6.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Justinthenickotime 3.00 2.5 5-1
11 9 Maroon Maniac 3.50 3.5 7-1
10 8 Matheson 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lemon Kick 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Spycraft 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 7 Perfect Sense 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Lookin High 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 He’s a Lucky Man 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Uncapped 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Biarritz 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Blueridge Mountain 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Max Pandowdy 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Choppa Style 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Have No Fear 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 3 She’s Gone d’Wild 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Strong Beauty 5.00 3 6-1
5 4 New Year’s Party 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Afleet Moon 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 5 Special Connection 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Mia O Maya 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Suzie’s Dream 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Arm Candy 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sylvia Q 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Barista 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Suite Madam Blue 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Joqular 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Magnetism 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Xtrema 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Earth Strike (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dean Martini 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Omega Moon 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tringale 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Soul Streit 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Little Kansas 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Red Hot Devil 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Boyfriend Material 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 My Friend Flavin 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kittansett 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 5 Patriot’s War 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 6 Absam 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Win d’Oro 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 7 Smiling Silas 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Summer Tune 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Brew Crew 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Defied 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Summer Palace 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sliabh Aughty (FR) 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Reigning Spirit 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kentucky Summer 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Winning Romance 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 Big Time 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 6 Halfglamorous 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Rue Lala 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 5 Louleigh 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 7 Amoreena Star 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Spirited Beauty 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Smittys Barracuda 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mrs. Judy 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Inawic 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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