Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 31, 2020
December 31, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Da Gold Room | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Maga Country | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hooperdrivesthboat | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Range of Motion | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dublin Yinz Money | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Good Ride Cowboy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taino House | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Guice | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Swot Analysis | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Perfect Perigee | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jimmy Two Times | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bunkie’s Song | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Creole Charlie | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adieu Le Chat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Smittys Barracuda | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Thetruthisthetruth | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Philly Wins | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Speedy Dudette | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Platinum Queen | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sho Nuff | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mercedes Ladies | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Steph’s Spirit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Opps My Bad | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Devil With a Dash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 11 | She’s My Priority | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 13 | Eve’s Delight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Hotmolly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American Legend | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Anna | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Kat Taps | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gianna’s Gift | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Susan Ann | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Justinthenickotime | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Maroon Maniac | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Matheson | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Kick | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spycraft | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Perfect Sense | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookin High | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Lucky Man | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncapped | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Biarritz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blueridge Mountain | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Max Pandowdy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Choppa Style | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Have No Fear | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Strong Beauty | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | New Year’s Party | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Afleet Moon | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Special Connection | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mia O Maya | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suzie’s Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Arm Candy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sylvia Q | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barista | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Suite Madam Blue | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joqular | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnetism | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Xtrema | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Earth Strike (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dean Martini | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Omega Moon | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tringale | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Streit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Kansas | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Hot Devil | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boyfriend Material | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Friend Flavin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kittansett | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Patriot’s War | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Absam | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Win d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Smiling Silas | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Tune | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brew Crew | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Defied | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Summer Palace | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sliabh Aughty (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Reigning Spirit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kentucky Summer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Winning Romance | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big Time | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Halfglamorous | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rue Lala | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Louleigh | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Amoreena Star | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirited Beauty | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smittys Barracuda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Judy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Inawic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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