December 31, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Mucho Sunshine | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Warfront Fighter | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grecian Pharoah | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Confectioner | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Height | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Travelin Dani | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hail Da King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | This Kid Is Ready | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Wasp | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Girl | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ifihadachance | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ok Honey | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ellarella | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sky Kitten | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Money | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Buck | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Oliver’s Fortune | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lobsta | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bingo John | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heymackit’sjack | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reggae Music Man | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Writer’s Regret | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Damilano | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Interstate | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Suz | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daria’s Angel | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Regis | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blunt Force | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rude Awaking | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whyisshesoolucky | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady by Choice | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Conformist | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Sword | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sam and Sy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Civil War | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | De Only Solution | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prospect Mountain | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Stalker | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Workout | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jacoba | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Durkin’s Call | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Heavy Roller | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Creative Plan | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Direct Order | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tivano | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Fleet Irish | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brush Country | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runabout | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ruby Bleu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Its All Relevant | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Palomita | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Glass Ceiling | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Letmetakethiscall | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lucky Dime | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dovey Lovey | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Madam Maclean | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Jump for Joy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sneak | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Judiciary | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crick | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Grape Therapy | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Plink Freud | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lizzie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vitanza | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mizzys Image | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Empress Luciana | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queentigua | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mill Stone Creek | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Karla’s Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mia Calia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crystal Steps | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | La Reine Rouge | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sophie Fatale | 50.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.