December 27, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baby Melissa | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Honor | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salamina | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tayler’s Chrome | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonsafe | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closertotheheart | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Air Force Pink | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Souper Splendor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My T Talk | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drive In | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ciao Luna | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dat Dares Gold | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Splendor Gal | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m So Munny | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gottaflathaveher | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Stone Unturned | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Crossing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Proud Mandate | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Long Distance Love | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Huntress | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flava’s Dream | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Door Buster | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Lane | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bestla | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cowgirl Night | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My My Girl | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sing a Verse | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Given | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Card Draw | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cooke Brothers | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D C Fireman | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Saint | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Robber Bob | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Danube | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shuddawuddacudda | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Save Me Paula | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Fire Within | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orbonthebayou | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiz Auction Time | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Exciting Idea | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Shipman | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don Ciccio | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drink More Bourbon | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Life | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hinting | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day of Honor | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Not Telling | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Padawhirk | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royalian | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maximo Strong | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Confusion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Weallwegot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Introspection | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simmard Shenanigan | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Premium Motion | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bring Me Answers | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life in Flash | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paz the Wine | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letmeslidebyyou | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ridgemont High | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grecian Dancer | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Queen | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rocks That I Got | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Originaly From Dot | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grace N Favor | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Princess | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Butterfly | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot to Party | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Hat Boss | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emperadora | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Steely Band | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Drop Kiss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Normalizeddeviance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Juan | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond the Victory | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Confessor | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Solid Golfer | 50.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Universal Payday | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Knows | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Divine Interventio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shane’s Jewel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lady Magnolia | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ashara | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rona | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Finch | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Lassie | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Majorette | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sundog | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Wildcat | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.