Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 27, 2020

December 27, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Baby Melissa 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Determined Honor 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Salamina 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tayler’s Chrome 3.00 4 7-1
1 1 Moonsafe 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Closertotheheart 4.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Air Force Pink 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Souper Splendor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My T Talk 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 Drive In 30.00 2 4-1
2 2 Ciao Luna 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Dat Dares Gold 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Splendor Gal 3.50 8.1 15-1
7 7 I’m So Munny 5.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Gottaflathaveher 4.50 8.9 17-1
1 1 No Stone Unturned 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Midnight Crossing 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Proud Mandate 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Long Distance Love 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Little Huntress 1.60 1.3 2-1
2 2 Flava’s Dream 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Door Buster 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Speed Lane 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bestla 30.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Cowgirl Night 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My My Girl 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sing a Verse 10.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Victory Given 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Five Card Draw 4.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Cooke Brothers 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 D C Fireman 20.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Holy Saint 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Robber Bob 4.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 Blue Danube 15.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Shuddawuddacudda 30.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Save Me Paula 30.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 The Fire Within 15.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Orbonthebayou 15.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Tiz Auction Time 3.00 2 4-1
11 11 Exciting Idea 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 True Shipman 5.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Don Ciccio 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Drink More Bourbon 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Boss Life 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Hinting 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Day of Honor 20.00 3 6-1
14 14 Not Telling 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Padawhirk 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Royalian 30.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Maximo Strong 20.00 3.4 6-1
15 15 Confusion 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Weallwegot 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Introspection 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Simmard Shenanigan 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Premium Motion 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bring Me Answers 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Life in Flash 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Paz the Wine 30.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Letmeslidebyyou 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Ridgemont High 8.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Grecian Dancer 30.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Black Queen 30.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Rocks That I Got 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Originaly From Dot 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 4 Grace N Favor 15.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Fancy Princess 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Awesome Butterfly 30.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Hot to Party 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Top Hat Boss 6.00 2.4 4-1
11 11 Emperadora 30.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Steely Band 15.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Lemon Drop Kiss 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Normalizeddeviance 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Colonel Juan 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Beyond the Victory 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Confessor 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Rock Solid Golfer 50.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Universal Payday 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Daddy Knows 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Divine Interventio 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Shane’s Jewel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lady Magnolia 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Ashara 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Rona 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Gold Finch 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Gimme’s Goldengirl 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 Golden Lassie 15.00 2 4-1
3 3 Miss Majorette 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sundog 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Bourbon Wildcat 1.80 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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