December 27, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Seize the Hay | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unpopular Opinion | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Mazza | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Best Bet | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond the Call | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Farm Strong | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Gun of Glory | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bellamy’s Treasure | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Tone Feelin | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Safe and Sound | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Clown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cuy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Glacier Park | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Frank | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellagio | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sidarth | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nona Rac | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Under Fire | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keepyourguardup | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fratelli A. A. | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Auburn | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lalali | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Little Johara | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gravel Gertie | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Too Stylish | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Takestwotowiggle | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Socially Astray | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beasaichi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Prince Igor | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enano Astray | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sky Bridge | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Signified | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halo’s Dance | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Comiskey Park | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Express Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ultraconfident | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reinoanimaux | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Man Walking | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smarty J and B | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Melbourne | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lifechangingevent | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pink Fizz | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine City | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Habibi | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turn It On | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Say Cheese | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Town | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart of God | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Lani | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hoponthebusgus | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scatnap | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Incondicional | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | A Beautiful Day | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Real Doozie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Afficionado (FR) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feature Creature | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aguas Coloradas | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Yako | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fantastic Kingdom | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Interest | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Etana | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aequor | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resident | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toupha | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frank First | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smash | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Areyoutalkingtome | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Espresso Caliente | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cappy Hour | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Setting the Mood | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street of Dreams | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kissing Frogs | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princesa Caroline | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mimina’s Team | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Declarationwarrior | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Margaret’s Joy | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely La La | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | More Than Unusual | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Coconut Grove | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Take Ten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Passive Investing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Amadora | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sansa’s Vow | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caira | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mylastfirstkiss | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fort King | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Ages | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr Harlan | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vincent William | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trisomia | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Young Raymond | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Hands | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Hot Looks | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salsa Rita | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gauguin (GER) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Ready | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apreciado | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Churn N Burn | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harbour Master (GB) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dundalk | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tapability | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy But Smart | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ikeisgreat | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Soul | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | African Heritage | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sounion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Examiner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lomu | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Til the End | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocket Joe Copper | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Mission | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Minister’s Strike | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belgrano | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Projected (GB) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Robintakincharge | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dover Cliffs | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mid Day Image | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Danville | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Secret Touch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Well Defined | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lookin At Roses | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zippy | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devoted Kitten | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.