Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 27, 2020

December 27, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Supersport Sally 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Juanandora 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 G’s Deadline 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Kraft’s Rate 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 All in Bronson 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Tears for Paula 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dori’s Birdies 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Wasnt Joking 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Meg and Clair 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kamara Vision 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Highland Creek 2.50 3.7 7-1
2B 13 A Star Is Born Now 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 12 Kasens Train 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 2 Your Time’s Coming 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Ballinonabudjet 10.00 5.6 11-1
1A 3 One Car Funeral 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Kansas King 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Captain Ziggy 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 1 Guilty as Charged 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Williams Shine 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Mr. Universe 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Justin’smemories 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Gold Double 1.60 1.3 2-1
5 6 Verified 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Schmoozin 3.50 3 6-1
1A 5 Confess 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 3 Another Hero 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Windchill Zar 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 7 Graves Mill Road 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Mila’s Gold 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Irish Hustle 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lone Star Diva 6.00 4 8-1
8 7 Fort Polk 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Lil Ashley B. 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Chanson La Belle 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Air Guitar Star 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Kick N Kiss 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Steph’sfullasugar 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Sebs Princess 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bellamy Cay 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Big Bella Brown 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 8 Reckless Ransom 4.50 3 6-1
11 10 Why Joey Why 6.00 3 6-1
10 9 Born Again George 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 State Treasurer 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Greeley’s Banker 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Tensas Talk 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Southern Swagg 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Cheers to Berti 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Impressive Student 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Fire Blaster 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Cha Vez 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Comedian 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Mishko 4.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Mom Said Yes 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Simply 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 New Eagle 10.00 5 9-1
10 10 Copper Fiddle 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Morhawk 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Marshall Law (IRE) 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Causforcelebration 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Mayor Cobb 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Caramel Angel 30.00 9 17-1
8 8 T. J. B. Oorah 30.00 9.4 18-1
14 14 Briar Jumper 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 On Your Mark 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Twilight Fantasy 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Smart Call 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Can Imagine 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Gallant Plunger 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Elusive d’Oro 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 First Contact 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Oso Negro 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Jazz It Up 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Hamazing Wisdom 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 13 S Man 4.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Gold Vermilion 5.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Old World Order 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Tour the World 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Half Cocked 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Fed Money 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Melt Proof 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ultimate Irony 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Ames Mister 10.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Louisville Legend 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Mr. Brutus 20.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 Clearly Mad 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Top Star 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Birthday Party 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Phraseologism 30.00 10 19-1
10 10 Hiccup 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Guilty Lover 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 7 Nosy Banker 3.50 2.1 4-1
10 8 Coffee County 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Banquet Chef 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Wicked Alex 10.00 3.8 7-1
11 9 Mr. Paycheck 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Catinandscatin 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 6 Semi Charmed Life 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Have a Notion 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Midnight Nightmare 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Minister’s Medal 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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