December 27, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Supersport Sally | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juanandora | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G’s Deadline | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kraft’s Rate | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All in Bronson | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tears for Paula | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dori’s Birdies | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wasnt Joking | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Meg and Clair | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kamara Vision | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Creek | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2B | 13 | A Star Is Born Now | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 12 | Kasens Train | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Your Time’s Coming | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ballinonabudjet | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 3 | One Car Funeral | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kansas King | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Ziggy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Guilty as Charged | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Williams Shine | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Universe | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justin’smemories | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Gold Double | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Verified | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Schmoozin | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Confess | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Another Hero | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Windchill Zar | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Graves Mill Road | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mila’s Gold | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Hustle | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lone Star Diva | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fort Polk | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lil Ashley B. | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chanson La Belle | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Guitar Star | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kick N Kiss | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steph’sfullasugar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sebs Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bellamy Cay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Big Bella Brown | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reckless Ransom | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Why Joey Why | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Born Again George | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | State Treasurer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greeley’s Banker | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tensas Talk | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southern Swagg | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cheers to Berti | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impressive Student | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cha Vez | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Comedian | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mishko | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mom Said Yes | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simply | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Eagle | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Copper Fiddle | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morhawk | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marshall Law (IRE) | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Causforcelebration | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mayor Cobb | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caramel Angel | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | T. J. B. Oorah | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Briar Jumper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | On Your Mark | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twilight Fantasy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Call | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can Imagine | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gallant Plunger | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive d’Oro | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Contact | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oso Negro | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jazz It Up | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hamazing Wisdom | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 13 | S Man | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Vermilion | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Old World Order | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tour the World | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Half Cocked | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fed Money | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Melt Proof | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Irony | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ames Mister | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Louisville Legend | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Brutus | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Clearly Mad | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Top Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Birthday Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Phraseologism | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hiccup | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guilty Lover | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nosy Banker | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Coffee County | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Banquet Chef | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Alex | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mr. Paycheck | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catinandscatin | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Semi Charmed Life | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have a Notion | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Nightmare | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Minister’s Medal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.