December 26, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Hermaphrodite (FR) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Lubie | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kookie Gal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Avenue de France (FR) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shanghai Truffles | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassyserb | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Donut Girl | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Big Blue Nation | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocking Redhead | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cover Version | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Affable | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wipe the Slate | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Flatter | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deservedly | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barraza | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man Friday | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racing Ace | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hapi Hapi | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zorich | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Defense Wins | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alvaaro | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bam Bam Again | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Next Revolt | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tromador | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bodega | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Union Leader | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Mathis Brothers Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whisper Not (GB) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scarto | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heywoods Beach | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Field Pass | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Like Strait | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strongconstitution | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm the Court | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Watchful Eye | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Chick | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Medusa’s Gaze | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ms Michelle | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Miss Tater Tot | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Great Curves | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Grazen Road | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Half Hoping | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Warren’s Memorable | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Here Comes Ralphie | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Military Princess | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Esja | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rayray | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Highly Distorted | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Preaching Trainer | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Flew South | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Anaconda | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wayne O | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mecklenburg (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Finish | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tripoli | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Appreciated | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Club Aspen | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | City Rage | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | The Rule of King’s | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Antonio S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Extra Hope | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mucho Gusto | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Midcourt | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Idol | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take the One O One | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Samurai | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Combatant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Brea S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Provocation | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Himiko | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Keeper | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Biddy Duke | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merneith | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fair Maiden | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Finite | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Principal | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Motivated Seller | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Mo | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stellar Sound | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – American Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Capital Structure (GB) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Duopoly | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Going to Vegas | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | California Kook | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Lark (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guitty (FR) | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luck Money | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sharing | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Addie Pray | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Runhappy Malibu S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Independence Hall | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collusion Illusion | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Express Train | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlatan | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nashville | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thousand Words | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Lady Of Shamrock S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Counterparty Risk (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Annangel (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warren’s Showtime | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nasty | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Extra (FR) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beguiled | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On Mars | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Applecross (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonhall Milly (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last First Kiss | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.