Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 26, 2020

December 26, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Hermaphrodite (FR) 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Aunt Lubie 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Kookie Gal 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Avenue de France (FR) 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 Shanghai Truffles 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sassyserb 8.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Donut Girl 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Go Big Blue Nation 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Rocking Redhead 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cover Version 15.00 10 19-1
9 8 Tizno’s Dilemma 15.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Affable 1.60 1.6 3-1
6 6 Wipe the Slate 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Sir Flatter 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Deservedly 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Barraza 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Man Friday 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Racing Ace 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hapi Hapi 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Zorich 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Defense Wins 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Alvaaro 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 8 Bam Bam Again 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Next Revolt 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Tromador 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Bodega 20.00 8 15-1
5 98 Union Leader 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Mathis Brothers Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whisper Not (GB) 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Scarto 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Heywoods Beach 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Field Pass 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Smooth Like Strait 1.60 4.5 8-1
2 2 Strongconstitution 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Storm the Court 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Watchful Eye 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Big Chick 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Medusa’s Gaze 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 Ms Michelle 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 Miss Tater Tot 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Great Curves 4.00 5.6 11-1
12 10 Grazen Road 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 3 Half Hoping 4.00 5.9 11-1
11 9 Warren’s Memorable 3.50 7 13-1
7 5 Here Comes Ralphie 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Military Princess 50.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Esja 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rayray 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Highly Distorted 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Preaching Trainer 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 One Flew South 8.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Anaconda 4.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Wayne O 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Mecklenburg (IRE) 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Quick Finish 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tripoli 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Appreciated 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Club Aspen 12.00 7.9 15-1
13 13 City Rage 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 The Rule of King’s 30.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Antonio S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Extra Hope 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 6 Mucho Gusto 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 4 Midcourt 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Idol 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Kiss Today Goodbye 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Take the One O One 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Sharp Samurai 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Combatant 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Brea S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Provocation 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Himiko 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Secret Keeper 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Biddy Duke 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Merneith 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Fair Maiden 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Finite 3.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Golden Principal 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Motivated Seller 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Princess Mo 50.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Stellar Sound 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – American Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capital Structure (GB) 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Duopoly 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Going to Vegas 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 California Kook 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Red Lark (IRE) 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Guitty (FR) 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Luck Money 3.50 5 9-1
9 9 Sharing 3.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Neige Blanche (FR) 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Miss Addie Pray 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Runhappy Malibu S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Independence Hall 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Collusion Illusion 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Express Train 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Charlatan 1.80 3.6 7-1
3 3 Nashville 1.20 3.8 7-1
2 2 Thousand Words 8.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Lady Of Shamrock S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Counterparty Risk (IRE) 4.00 2 4-1
10 10 Annangel (IRE) 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Warren’s Showtime 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Nasty 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Miss Extra (FR) 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Beguiled 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 On Mars 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Applecross (IRE) 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Moonhall Milly (IRE) 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Last First Kiss 20.00 9.3 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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