December 26, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | What’s the Move | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Empress | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Dervish | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truly | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Claddagh’s Run | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eighty Seven North | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Cheeks | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandra’s Mine | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Ranger | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pearlescent | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sainte Mere Eglise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Starry Hope | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mystical Charge | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Letsnotgetoexcited | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Blossom Bow | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grace’s Drama | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Markistan | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valley Date | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brookes All Mine | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Justice | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noncents | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Etiqueta | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Assume Control | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perspective | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Cairo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mahomes Money | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naco | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Great Oz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Timber | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Military Drill | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Social Equality | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Distinctly Blue | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R Happy Ending | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Payntdembluesaway | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sanity | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swirling Candy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over Gators | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Something Magical | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nikee Kan | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Witch | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Bull Jack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Roger | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyro | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amount | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eamonn | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Force | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rabdan | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Skywalking | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Emperor’s Cause | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Far Away Look | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | This Dudes No Fool | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | High Noon Rider | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conviction Trade | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tintoretto (GER) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Focus Group | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hieroglyphics | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Treasure Trove | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clear Vision | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dante’s Fire | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sir Anthony | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muralist | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cowtown | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maxim Moment | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dynamic One | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Duke | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greatest Honour | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Tryst | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dudes Got Game | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Highway | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gods Promise | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boca Guy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Liam | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Liquor | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don Juan Kitten | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer to Remember | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sole Volante | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | By Your Side | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fighting Seabee | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dack Janiel’s | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Angelus Warrior | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Me and Mr. C | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Front Loaded | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sagamore Mischief | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doc Amster | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Life in Shambles | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Septemberten | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silverly Enough | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What’s to Blame | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Kahn | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Stunning Sky | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | More Than Unusual | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vigilantes Way | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Speaktomeofsummer | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ask Bailey | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | American Giant | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Virginia Beach | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Windracer (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mo of the West | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Blue Mistress | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Time (GER) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lindy Lou (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Good Credence | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | The Mighty Judge | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Champagne | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donji | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of Spades | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Honey Dont | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uhtred | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Macagone | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Another | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Basha | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pont Du Gard | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joyful Heart | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Projected (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Battle of Blenheim | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.