Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 26, 2020

December 26, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 What’s the Move 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Silent Empress 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Twirling Dervish 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Truly 4.50 4.5 8-1
8 8 Claddagh’s Run 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Eighty Seven North 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Big Cheeks 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sandra’s Mine 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Love Ranger 20.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Pearlescent 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sainte Mere Eglise 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Starry Hope 30.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Mystical Charge 30.00 11 21-1
11 11 Letsnotgetoexcited 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Blossom Bow 2.50 2.9 6-1
9 8 Grace’s Drama 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 9 Markistan 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Valley Date 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Brookes All Mine 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sassy Justice 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Noncents 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Lil Miss Hotshot 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Gran Etiqueta 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Assume Control 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Perspective 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 King Cairo 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Mahomes Money 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Naco 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 The Great Oz 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dark Timber 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Military Drill 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Social Equality 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kitten’s Covergirl 3.50 2 4-1
10 9 Distinctly Blue 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 R Happy Ending 3.00 2.9 6-1
11 10 Payntdembluesaway 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sanity 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Swirling Candy 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Over Gators 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Something Magical 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Nikee Kan 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Midnight Witch 30.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 No Bull Jack 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dr. Roger 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Skyro 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Amount 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Eamonn 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 King Force 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Rabdan 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Skywalking 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Emperor’s Cause 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Far Away Look 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 This Dudes No Fool 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 High Noon Rider 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Conviction Trade 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Tintoretto (GER) 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Focus Group 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Hieroglyphics 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Treasure Trove 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Clear Vision 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Dante’s Fire 10.00 6 11-1
11 11 Sir Anthony 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Muralist 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Cowtown 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Maxim Moment 3.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Dynamic One 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Another Duke 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Greatest Honour 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Royal Tryst 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Dudes Got Game 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Bourbon Highway 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Gods Promise 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Boca Guy 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Colonel Liam 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Fancy Liquor 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Don Juan Kitten 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Summer to Remember 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sole Volante 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 By Your Side 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Fighting Seabee 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Dack Janiel’s 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Angelus Warrior 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Me and Mr. C 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Front Loaded 3.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Sagamore Mischief 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Doc Amster 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Life in Shambles 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Septemberten 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Silverly Enough 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 What’s to Blame 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Sir Kahn 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Stunning Sky 2.50 3.2 6-1
12 10 More Than Unusual 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Vigilantes Way 4.00 4.4 8-1
10 8 Speaktomeofsummer 3.50 4.6 9-1
11 9 Ask Bailey 10.00 5 9-1
8 6 American Giant 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Virginia Beach 20.00 8.7 16-1
3 2 Windracer (IRE) 20.00 8.7 17-1
9 7 Mo of the West 20.00 9 17-1
7 5 Blue Mistress 30.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Secret Time (GER) 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lindy Lou (FR) 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Good Credence 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 The Mighty Judge 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Derby Champagne 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Donji 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 King of Spades 8.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Honey Dont 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Uhtred 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Macagone 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Another 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Basha 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Pont Du Gard 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Joyful Heart 20.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Projected (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Battle of Blenheim 20.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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