Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 22, 2020

December 22, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Limitless Mazie 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Hennys Grinning 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Cherokeetin Xpress 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 We Can Dream 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Hightail Runaway 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sophisticated Girl 5.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Noon’s Babygirl 1.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Andiamo Giacomo 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Far Out Time 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Broad Decision 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Titanium Pledge 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Britts a Closer 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Now You Rules 4.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Imdusty 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Kinlee’s Song 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Kai Baby Kai 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 J C’s in Town 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Pray Ide Sing 10.00 10.2 19-1
3 3 Mr. Production 2.50 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gimmeasound 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Benbow Cat 15.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Red Mamba 12.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Steal It Back 20.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Floor General 12.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Got Kramer 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Chinese Bandit 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Courageous Is Back 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Bunkie’s Song 6.00 8.7 17-1
11 11 Run Ethan Run 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Adios Carlos 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mean Cannon 3.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 That’s D ‘cat 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Chaosmos 15.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Magnanimus Man 15.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Drewsizzle 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Si Familia 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Starship Zeus 3.50 6 11-1
5 5 Bet Again 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Hatties Jewel 1.80 6.6 13-1
2 2 Lookie Loo 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Alpha to Omega 5.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Macho Mark 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Reads Landing 8.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Vickslincolnlawyer 2.00 7.9 15-1
3 2 Out Making Treble 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Wheels Turning 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 1 My Blarney Stone 5.00 8.2 15-1
1 3 Valenzano 3.00 8.2 15-1
6 5 Waypoint 8.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Velvet Ridge 4.50 8.4 16-1
4 4 Jay’s Morning Line 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Valyrian 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Ship Stalker 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Blame the Thief 3.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Why God 2.50 5.5 10-1
9 8 Gone Preachin 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Oneholylion 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Steppin’ Outonher 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 So Sorry Ruston 15.00 8 15-1
7 6 Academy Bay 4.50 9.5 18-1
6 6 Kye’s Addycat 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bajan Cash 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Naughty Justice 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Jeweled Crown 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lucky Little Lady 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Seven Jewels 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Aura 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hero of Gold 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Ashley’s New Shoes 2.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bella Moon 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Flatoya 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 The Aurelia Factor 12.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Brave Rifle 20.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Kensley’s Hippie 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Custom Ready 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Leo Del Reo 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Riskey Trickey 3.50 7.3 14-1
6 5 Golden Tiger 6.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Chitto 6.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 One Proud Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Rockinthered 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dyess 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Oso Negro 12.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Ouachita 15.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Daddy Jose 8.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Everydayschristmas 5.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Zarazi 20.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Tap a Miracle 15.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Unbridled Pulpit 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Hope for Change 10.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Runciman 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 My Call 8.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Ray’s Kimua 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ambassador House 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tin Delay 2.50 10.2 19-1
3 3 Ready Redding 4.00 10.3 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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