December 22, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Limitless Mazie | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hennys Grinning | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokeetin Xpress | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We Can Dream | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hightail Runaway | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophisticated Girl | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noon’s Babygirl | 1.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Andiamo Giacomo | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Far Out Time | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broad Decision | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Titanium Pledge | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Britts a Closer | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Now You Rules | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Imdusty | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kinlee’s Song | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kai Baby Kai | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | J C’s in Town | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pray Ide Sing | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Production | 2.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gimmeasound | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benbow Cat | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Mamba | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steal It Back | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Floor General | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Got Kramer | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chinese Bandit | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Is Back | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bunkie’s Song | 6.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Run Ethan Run | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Adios Carlos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mean Cannon | 3.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | That’s D ‘cat | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chaosmos | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magnanimus Man | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drewsizzle | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Si Familia | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starship Zeus | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bet Again | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hatties Jewel | 1.80 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookie Loo | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha to Omega | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Macho Mark | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Reads Landing | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vickslincolnlawyer | 2.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Out Making Treble | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wheels Turning | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Blarney Stone | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Valenzano | 3.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Waypoint | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Velvet Ridge | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jay’s Morning Line | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Valyrian | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ship Stalker | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Thief | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Why God | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gone Preachin | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oneholylion | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Steppin’ Outonher | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Sorry Ruston | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Academy Bay | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kye’s Addycat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bajan Cash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Justice | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeweled Crown | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Little Lady | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Jewels | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aura | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hero of Gold | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ashley’s New Shoes | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Moon | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flatoya | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Aurelia Factor | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Brave Rifle | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kensley’s Hippie | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Custom Ready | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leo Del Reo | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riskey Trickey | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golden Tiger | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chitto | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Proud Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rockinthered | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dyess | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Oso Negro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Ouachita | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Daddy Jose | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Everydayschristmas | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zarazi | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tap a Miracle | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Pulpit | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope for Change | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runciman | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Call | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ray’s Kimua | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ambassador House | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tin Delay | 2.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Redding | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.