Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 21, 2020

December 21, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Iron Lilly 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Risque Express 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Baaqeya 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Fleur de Force 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Dancingthehnydaway 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Girl Powder 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Chevy to the Levy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Noble Kent 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 American Roma 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 3 Salsa’s Return 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Legacy’s Prince 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Across the Aisle 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 High Flying Guy 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Mantle 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Financial Freedom 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Lean On E 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Wood Bee 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Running Girl 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Carmeltini 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Enough Love 2.00 4 8-1
6 5 Pablo’s Dream 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Shes Euphoric 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Royal Coup 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Court Sky 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 6 Green Growth 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Lightning Rob 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Spartak 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Piggybank 15.00 7 13-1
9 7 Bad Sueno 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Frost’s Song 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Repeated Promise 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Afleet Melody 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forest Fire 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Glory Song 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 King Koa 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 In Equality 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Diamond Setter 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Risque Rebel 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Dream’n Demon 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 1 Danzafied 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 2 Big Ray 2.00 4.7 9-1
6 4 Company Clown 3.50 6.3 12-1
8 6 Mooji Moo Jr. 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Tommy the Torch 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 5 Babbo Babbo Babbo 6.00 6.9 13-1
1A 10 Milton the Monster 2.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Gadago 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Alfatei 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 10 Alongcametheprince 3.50 5.6 11-1
10 8 Tally Mo 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 2 Goldenlineof 8.00 6.6 13-1
8 6 Tu Exageres 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 4 Jupi’s Lightning 3.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 King of Ranch 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 3 Too Much Johnnie 4.00 7.6 14-1
9 7 Managing Risk 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 5 Talented Son 8.00 8.3 16-1
1A 15 Louie’s Wish 4.00 SCRATCH
3 2 El Dulzura 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 My Man Elvis 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Proud and Furious 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Justice of War 8.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Quality Special 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Factor This In 1.60 3.2 6-1
3 2 Flashy Kyem 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 4 King’s House 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Manolete 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 7 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 5 American Talent 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 6 Forman the Foreman 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Regal Quality 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Don’t Make It Easy 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Phish Fan 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charity Stripe 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Gator Girl 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Midnight Miracle 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 6 Love On Fire 2.00 5.3 10-1
8 5 Gossip Isle 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Always Talking 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Stormbeam 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Di 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rochela 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Creedibility 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Miss Loyalty 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 6 Lady Valentina 6.00 6.2 12-1
11 7 J J Loves Billy 3.00 6.3 12-1
6 3 Up Just in Time 8.00 6.5 12-1
1A 9 Cawaja Time 4.00 7.8 15-1
8 5 Little Neck 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 8 Gambit’s Girl 8.00 8.2 15-1
7 4 Deep Canyon 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 12 Bryce’s Philly 4.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Bayleaf 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Skookie 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Vinaigrette 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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