Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 21, 2020
December 21, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iron Lilly | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risque Express | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baaqeya | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fleur de Force | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dancingthehnydaway | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Girl Powder | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chevy to the Levy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Noble Kent | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | American Roma | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Salsa’s Return | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Legacy’s Prince | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Across the Aisle | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | High Flying Guy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mantle | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Financial Freedom | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lean On E | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wood Bee | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running Girl | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carmeltini | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Enough Love | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pablo’s Dream | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shes Euphoric | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Coup | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Court Sky | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Green Growth | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lightning Rob | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spartak | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Piggybank | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bad Sueno | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frost’s Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Repeated Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Afleet Melody | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forest Fire | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Glory Song | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Koa | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Equality | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Setter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risque Rebel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Dream’n Demon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Danzafied | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Big Ray | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Company Clown | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mooji Moo Jr. | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tommy the Torch | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Babbo Babbo Babbo | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Milton the Monster | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Gadago | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alfatei | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 10 | Alongcametheprince | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tally Mo | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Goldenlineof | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tu Exageres | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jupi’s Lightning | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King of Ranch | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Too Much Johnnie | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Managing Risk | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Talented Son | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Louie’s Wish | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | El Dulzura | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | My Man Elvis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Proud and Furious | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Justice of War | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Quality Special | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Factor This In | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flashy Kyem | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | King’s House | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Manolete | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | American Talent | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Forman the Foreman | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Quality | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Make It Easy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Phish Fan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charity Stripe | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gator Girl | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Miracle | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Love On Fire | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Gossip Isle | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Talking | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormbeam | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Di | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rochela | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Creedibility | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Loyalty | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Lady Valentina | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | J J Loves Billy | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Up Just in Time | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Cawaja Time | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Little Neck | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Gambit’s Girl | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Deep Canyon | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 12 | Bryce’s Philly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Bayleaf | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Skookie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Vinaigrette | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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