Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 20, 2020

December 20, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Nitro Time 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Todaystheday 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Twirling Fire 4.00 4.2 8-1
11 10 Rub My Belly 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Blame Charlie 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Mindship Q 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 V. I. P. Who 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Valeroso 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 Deputy Indy 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Forty Flash 30.00 9.4 18-1
9 8 Old Man Mac 30.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Pugin 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nimble Beast 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Mighty Fast 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Senzazione 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Yes for Less 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Harper Go Lucky 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Midnight Whiskey 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Pricey Victory 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 It’s a Risk 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Revolving Star 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lucky Law (IRE) 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Shaftesbury 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mutaraafeq 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 No Que No 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Rockstar Ro 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Sanctified 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Chieficia 10.00 4 7-1
7 7 Midnight Tequila 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uptown Queen 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 You’re the Best 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Good Shabbos 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Gilded Lady 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Theycallmeprincess 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Comp’d 10.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Addi 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Water Wizard 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Chattin With Jenny 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Miss Uncaptured 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Spin Your Partner 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Orencia 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Centsless Drama 2.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 My Lips Are Sealed 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Topo Grigio 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Indicia 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Babybel 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Sammie Sunshine 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shining Through 3.50 3 6-1
12 12 Bee Catcher 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Digital Footprint 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 One Eyed Jack 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bad Boy E. J. 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Tiz Light the Way 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sharetheblame 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Diligent 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Prospect Project 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Maverick Kitten 15.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Guess First 30.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Power (BRZ) 30.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zaajel 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Make Me Laugh 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Unbridled d’Oro 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Cajole 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mail Order 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tayet 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Shannon 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Mission Up 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Breehazel 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Bonnie’s the Best 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Skye Snow 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Omnia 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Little Bit Good 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Stefanie On Fleek 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lovely Brown 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Josefa 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Karenina 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Helena Beat 12.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Money Factor 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Catnip Kitten 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Charlotte the Brit 20.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 All About Kathern 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Its About Me 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Green Mansions 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Charlie the Greek 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Nacho Papa 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Scar 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 First and Three 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Starship Apollo 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Dardanellos 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Nicholas Rose 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 The Virginian 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Kyle 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Station Rock 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Ray’swarrior 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Tale of Kantharos 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Didnt Do It 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Deckology 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sunset Empire 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Churchills Victory 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Yadi 4.50 3 6-1
12 12 Mr. Tip 2.50 3.3 6-1
11 11 Riggins 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Max’s Causeway 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Jegos Fire 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 El Solitario 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Mr. Who 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Bodie Cody 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Can’t Have Enough 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Big Treasure 30.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Mr Tito’s 30.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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