Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 20, 2020

December 20, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Discreet Tiger 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 D Two 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Irish Hokie 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Takafumi (BRZ) 1.60 2.7 5-1
3 3 Drew’s Shot 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Danza Lauren 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Talented Tapper 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Business Lady 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 2 Presley Fire 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Diamond Lily 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 1 Blue Xchange 8.00 3.6 7-1
1A 8 Mad Tabby 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 My Little Guera 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Unitedandresolute 1.40 1.7 3-1
3 2 O Besos 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Devil’s Fire 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Blushinstreetdevil 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Leroy Jenkins 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Weather Prayer 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Altmeister 6.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Heals the Soul 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Fleet Run 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Pure Valor 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 1 Farewell Time 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Chambliss 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Caeus in Pasadena 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Ipidate 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 8 Richard Ronald 8.00 5 9-1
6 5 Alma Derby 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Swinging Greeley 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Luvmewhenimgone 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Cold Hearted Wench 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 6 Orb’s Soul 8.00 5.6 11-1
14 9 Sneaky Dianne 8.00 6.3 12-1
15 10 Miss Commish 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 4 Summer Express 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 1 Lady Kaza 10.00 7.7 15-1
4 2 Gottabegolden 15.00 8 15-1
9 7 Runaway Dream 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Somthingscandalous 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cirrusly 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Vita 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Happy Sonrisa 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Gio’s Lil Angel 20.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Tale of Mona 20.00 10.3 20-1
11 8 Cazadora 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Louisianalightning 1.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 Saintsgotrobbed 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bibleman 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 May Hour 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 Nunc Pro Tunc 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Classic Greeley 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Tensas Toddy 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 A Little Risky 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Chop Chop Charlie 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Caymans Cobra 8.00 3 6-1
2 1 Zanesville 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 3 Treys Midnite Moon 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 4 Carbonated 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 6 River Evangelist 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Freedom Factor 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Meseta Diablo 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Erasmo’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Shirl’s Ready 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Executive Bonus 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Antarctic 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Roux Ga Roux 4.00 2 4-1
10 9 Antietam Road 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Faith’s Raceday 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Rare Strain 5.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 Our Last Shot 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Money and Me 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 In a Bind 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Crown Me Jackson 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Mr. Old Hat 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Tripper John 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 6 Kingston Street 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Customadeforasaint 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Waywardness 4.50 1.1 2-1
6 3 Adventuring 6.00 2.9 5-1
11 8 Let’s Skedaddle 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Megan’s Clara 10.00 4.7 9-1
14 9 Will’s Secret 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 6 Love in the Air 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Tara Hill (IRE) 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Go Big Green 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Peace Nicker 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Unwanted Input 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Laugh It Off 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Postnup 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Transient (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bee a Winner 8.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Danger Zone 20.00 10.7 20-1
8 5 Princess d’Oro 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 11 Philly 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Booth Road Shine 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Spring Value 4.00 3.8 7-1
12 10 Seeley 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Free Indeed 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 5 Eights Wild 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Inspector Eddie 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 2 Whacudposblygowrng 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Wabash Cannonball 12.00 7.6 14-1
11 9 Jake the Band Man 20.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Confederate Yell 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Roger Brown 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Oneholylion 12.00 SCRATCH
10 8 C’Mon Ve 20.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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