December 20, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Tiger | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D Two | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Hokie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drew’s Shot | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Danza Lauren | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talented Tapper | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Business Lady | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Presley Fire | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Lily | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Xchange | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Mad Tabby | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Guera | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Unitedandresolute | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | O Besos | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Devil’s Fire | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blushinstreetdevil | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Leroy Jenkins | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weather Prayer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Altmeister | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Heals the Soul | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Fleet Run | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pure Valor | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Farewell Time | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chambliss | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Caeus in Pasadena | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ipidate | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Richard Ronald | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alma Derby | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swinging Greeley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Luvmewhenimgone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Cold Hearted Wench | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Orb’s Soul | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Sneaky Dianne | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Miss Commish | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Summer Express | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Lady Kaza | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gottabegolden | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Runaway Dream | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somthingscandalous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cirrusly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Vita | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Happy Sonrisa | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gio’s Lil Angel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Tale of Mona | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Cazadora | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Louisianalightning | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saintsgotrobbed | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bibleman | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | May Hour | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nunc Pro Tunc | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Greeley | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tensas Toddy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Little Risky | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Chop Chop Charlie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Caymans Cobra | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zanesville | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Treys Midnite Moon | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Carbonated | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | River Evangelist | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Meseta Diablo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Erasmo’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shirl’s Ready | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Executive Bonus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Antarctic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Roux Ga Roux | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Antietam Road | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Faith’s Raceday | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rare Strain | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Our Last Shot | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money and Me | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In a Bind | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crown Me Jackson | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Old Hat | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tripper John | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kingston Street | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Customadeforasaint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Waywardness | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Adventuring | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Let’s Skedaddle | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Megan’s Clara | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Will’s Secret | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Love in the Air | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tara Hill (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Big Green | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Peace Nicker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Unwanted Input | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Laugh It Off | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Postnup | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Transient (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bee a Winner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Danger Zone | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Princess d’Oro | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 11 | Philly | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Booth Road Shine | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Spring Value | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Seeley | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Free Indeed | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Eights Wild | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Inspector Eddie | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Whacudposblygowrng | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wabash Cannonball | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jake the Band Man | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Confederate Yell | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Roger Brown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Oneholylion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | C’Mon Ve | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.