December 19, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Premiere Lady | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Trouble Maker | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Wysong | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ca Dreamer | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Rafaela | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Factor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Dime | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carpe Victoriam | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bedrock | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Promise | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | See Through It | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Active Pass | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stay Legendary | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hydrogen | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Moon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Va Va Vegas | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Man Bags | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gordy’s Boy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playing Hardball | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bob Daniels | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gallant Guy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Proud Musket | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Habanero Kid | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Complete Control | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Run King Stud Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lessons of Autism | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bravestone | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spielberg | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Flag | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petruchio | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Great One | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Positivity | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weston | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kate Boss | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Best of Show | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nurse Hardbody | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Felicidad Legada | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Respectfully | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Olbia | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Decorate | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mesa Star | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hoochie Mama | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kwikkissme | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dontmesswithtess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Disko Fever | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lugia | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battling Gervinho | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gov From Above | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Ryan Seven | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moogie Cat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Clutch | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger’s Song | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arrivederci Roma | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marino Heat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Wild Cat Canyon | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Pasito | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Boonesboro Beauty | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Majestic Diva | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senoradiablo | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Trafficiskillingme | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aries | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss You Mom | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Free My Soul | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Laker Jet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s A. T. M. | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lulumaru | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Born to Reign | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Risen Lady | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reign of Fire | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yellow Dress | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Do You Hear That | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Dana | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Mistress | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Mama Sue | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruthies Racer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paint Me Again | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Exchange Vows | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stalking Shadow | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smoke Stack | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Father O’Flaherty | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cozy Bear | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colavito | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Short Rib | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Broken Finger | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Wave | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twice the Price | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Metal | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sleep Over | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brochacho | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Twirling Derby | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seiche | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Question Authority | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Lucky Bid | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master Recovery | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Pursuit | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Dodge | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gambini | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Mas Poderoso | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Asset | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Luck Is My Name | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.