Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 19, 2020

December 19, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Premiere Lady 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Uno Trouble Maker 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dr Wysong 4.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Ca Dreamer 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sweet Rafaela 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Eternal Endeavour (GB) 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sheza Factor 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 She’s a Dime 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carpe Victoriam 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bedrock 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Hidden Promise 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 See Through It 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Active Pass 3.50 4 8-1
8 8 Stay Legendary 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Hydrogen 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Vegas Moon 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Va Va Vegas 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 7 My Man Bags 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 6 Gordy’s Boy 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Playing Hardball 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 8 Bob Daniels 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 5 Gallant Guy 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Proud Musket 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 9 Habanero Kid 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Complete Control 0.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Run King Stud Run 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lessons of Autism 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bravestone 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spielberg 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Red Flag 1.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Petruchio 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 The Great One 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Positivity 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Weston 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kate Boss 1.80 1.7 3-1
8 7 Best of Show 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Nurse Hardbody 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Felicidad Legada 6.00 3 6-1
9 8 Respectfully 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Olbia 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Decorate 15.00 5 10-1
10 9 Mesa Star 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Big Hoochie Mama 30.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Kwikkissme 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dontmesswithtess 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Disko Fever 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lugia 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Battling Gervinho 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Gov From Above 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Lucky Ryan Seven 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Moogie Cat 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mr. Clutch 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Tiger’s Song 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Arrivederci Roma 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Marino Heat 30.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Wild Cat Canyon 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Pasito 3.50 3 6-1
11 8 Boonesboro Beauty 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Majestic Diva 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Senoradiablo 3.00 4 8-1
12 9 Trafficiskillingme 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Aries 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Miss You Mom 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Free My Soul 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 8 Laker Jet 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Charlie’s A. T. M. 30.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Lulumaru 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Born to Reign 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Risen Lady 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Reign of Fire 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Yellow Dress 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Do You Hear That 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Dancing Dana 3.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Malibu Mistress 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Big Mama Sue 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Ruthies Racer 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Paint Me Again 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Exchange Vows 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stalking Shadow 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Smoke Stack 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Father O’Flaherty 2.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Cozy Bear 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Colavito 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Short Rib 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Broken Finger 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 King Wave 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Twice the Price 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Hard Metal 30.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Sleep Over 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Brochacho 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Twirling Derby 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Seiche 1.20 2.4 4-1
8 8 Question Authority 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 My Lucky Bid 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Master Recovery 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Noble Pursuit 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Fort Dodge 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Gambini 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 El Mas Poderoso 50.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Asset 50.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Luck Is My Name 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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