December 19, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Call Bros | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rey de Ligas (CHI) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Perm | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jealous Eyes | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Realtor Danny D | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jupiter Blues | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sierra Cat | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Capture the Crown | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Treasure Run | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Future Prince | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Patron | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Scotch Whiskey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ms Big Spring | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Myfirstexwife | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Say Adios | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Beast | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of V K | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play That Tone | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itsenough | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shes One Mad Momma | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cobb | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jr Speed | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exxtop | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Dude | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidarth | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Kirk | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Meeting | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master of Disaster | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pa Encima | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Identity | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Globaltroublecoco | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Houdini’s Awesome | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Champ | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Afortunado | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fear the Brow | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party of No | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Game | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mista Donzella | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Confucio | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowardly Act | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Zip Factor | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | I’m a Noble Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | My Maxamillion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pugin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | He Ain’t No Saint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sette Stelle | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unimpeached | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Include the Beast | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’s Classy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lights On Girl | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Texas Reward | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Italy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greenwood Drive | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mak Hero | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Struttin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Conforto | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dillon Rocks | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretendant | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Souper Highvoltage | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Smell of Roses | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aycapote | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Memorable | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Cesco | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hero Up | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Embattled | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Sonar | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pago Querido | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Addilyn | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gerri B | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hallawallah | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | A d’Oro | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bargainaire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Doll Collection | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greyes Creek | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Journey | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Dancer | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Inventing Blame | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingmeister | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scraps | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Destination | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Army Scout | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Liner (BRZ) | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Peck | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Indimaaj | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Via Borghese S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Great Island | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Shopping | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Court Return | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cap de Creus | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cambeliza | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Traipsing | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kelsey’s Cross | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Society | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Panda | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mr. Prospector S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Firenze Fire | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Oops | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sleepy Eyes Todd | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haikal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Dunhill | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Arrow | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lasting Legacy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ebben | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mind Control | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Judgment | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zenden | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Public Information | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Munqad | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ultimate Gift | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl Dad | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Courageously | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | He’spuregold | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Advanced Placement | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Not Stormy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kentucky Pharoah | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Van Dusen (GB) | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Tryst | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.