Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 19, 2020

December 19, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Call Bros 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Rey de Ligas (CHI) 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 8 Big Perm 3.50 3.9 7-1
10 9 Jealous Eyes 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Realtor Danny D 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Jupiter Blues 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Sierra Cat 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 1 Capture the Crown 30.00 8.9 17-1
4 3 Treasure Run 30.00 9.3 18-1
11 10 Future Prince 30.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Gran Patron 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Scotch Whiskey 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ms Big Spring 1.60 2.1 4-1
8 8 Myfirstexwife 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Say Adios 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Blessed Beast 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Tale of V K 12.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Play That Tone 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Itsenough 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Shes One Mad Momma 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cobb 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Jr Speed 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Exxtop 3.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Little Dude 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Sidarth 10.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Captain Kirk 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Royal Meeting 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Master of Disaster 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Pa Encima 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 True Identity 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Globaltroublecoco 30.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Houdini’s Awesome 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Happy Champ 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 El Afortunado 4.50 3.6 7-1
11 11 Fear the Brow 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Party of No 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Hard Game 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Mista Donzella 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Confucio 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Cowardly Act 15.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 The Zip Factor 20.00 8.8 17-1
13 13 I’m a Noble Kid 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 My Maxamillion 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Pugin 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 He Ain’t No Saint 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sette Stelle 20.00 10 19-1
5 5 Unimpeached 30.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Include the Beast 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 3 She’s Classy 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lights On Girl 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Texas Reward 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Miss Italy 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Greenwood Drive 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 Mak Hero 30.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Struttin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Conforto 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Dillon Rocks 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Pretendant 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 8 Souper Highvoltage 2.50 3.7 7-1
11 10 Smell of Roses 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Aycapote 10.00 5 9-1
6 5 Memorable 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Mr. Cesco 30.00 8 15-1
4 3 Hero Up 30.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Embattled 30.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Scar 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Sonar 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Pago Querido 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Addilyn 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 Gerri B 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hallawallah 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 A d’Oro 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Bargainaire 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Doll Collection 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Succeedandsurpass (IRE) 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Greyes Creek 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Grand Journey 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sand Dancer 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Inventing Blame 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Kingmeister 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Scraps 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Clear Destination 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Army Scout 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Dream Liner (BRZ) 30.00 9.8 19-1
8 8 Fort Peck 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Indimaaj 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Via Borghese S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Great Island 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Always Shopping 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Court Return 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Cap de Creus 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Cambeliza 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Traipsing 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Kelsey’s Cross 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Gun Society 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Lady Panda 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mr. Prospector S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Firenze Fire 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Diamond Oops 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Sleepy Eyes Todd 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Haikal 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Majestic Dunhill 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Cool Arrow 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Lasting Legacy 15.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Ebben 20.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Mind Control 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Last Judgment 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Zenden 30.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Wind of Change (BRZ) 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Public Information 3.50 1.7 3-1
11 10 Munqad 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Ultimate Gift 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Girl Dad 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Courageously 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 He’spuregold 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Advanced Placement 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Not Stormy 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Kentucky Pharoah 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Van Dusen (GB) 30.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 American Tryst 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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