December 18, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Hot Pursuit | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Runaway Kristin | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Handr’sdream | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reckoning Day | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Endeavor | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sailing for Home | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kodiaction | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grey Point | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runneratthecorner | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovesick Blues | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rineshaft | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Satanta | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jedi Knight | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No More Fireball | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Curly | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Musket Powder | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harper’s Gem | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Regards | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proudtobesicilian | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Sky Logan | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unstoppable Guy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Surprise Fashion | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Child Sbud | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Jackson | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Freerunning | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rest Easy Two Four | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Artistic | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Walking With Dino | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Presto Bench | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sarlat | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U Aint Rite | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Orb | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Night Games | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awhitesportscoat | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Day | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Castle Gate | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sokudo | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rickey B | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Rush | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shake N Fries | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Donna Bella | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empire House | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Diva | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dorita’s Happy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aadhana | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Philly Lishes | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bathory | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whistler’s Style | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Love | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J T’s A. T. M. | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocky’s Show | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tribal Storm | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain N. Barron | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Convex | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire When Ready | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D K’s Crown | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Seeker | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dizzy Dancer | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cannonball Comin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Alex | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Howbeit | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bronn | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Cat | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Silardi | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Alcools | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Octopus | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Nothing | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antithetical | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | No Longer Silent | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fratelli | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Single Me Out | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rinse and Repeat | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Podres | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afternoon Heat | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Will Not | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Wager | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hollywood Heat | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asaro | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Princess Tale | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anatolia | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Miss Belle | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zahra | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Slew’s Screen Star | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Bonnie Lass | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keep It Classy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Smile | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turkish Angel | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slamin’ Daddy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kiss of Congrats | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Edition | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.