Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 18, 2020

December 18, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Hot Pursuit 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Runaway Kristin 4.50 2.4 5-1
10 9 Handr’sdream 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Reckoning Day 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Big Endeavor 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 1 Sailing for Home 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Kodiaction 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 8 Grey Point 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 5 Runneratthecorner 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Lovesick Blues 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rineshaft 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Satanta 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Jedi Knight 4.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 No More Fireball 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Shanghai Curly 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Musket Powder 4.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Harper’s Gem 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 True Regards 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Proudtobesicilian 30.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Big Sky Logan 30.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Unstoppable Guy 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Surprise Fashion 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Child Sbud 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Chief Jackson 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Freerunning 2.00 3 6-1
10 9 Rest Easy Two Four 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mr. Artistic 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Walking With Dino 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Presto Bench 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Sarlat 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 U Aint Rite 30.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Royal Orb 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Night Games 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Awhitesportscoat 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Autumn Day 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Castle Gate 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sokudo 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Rickey B 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Roman Rush 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Shake N Fries 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Donna Bella 2.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Empire House 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Midnight Diva 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Dorita’s Happy 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Aadhana 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Philly Lishes 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Bathory 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Whistler’s Style 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tiz Love 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 J T’s A. T. M. 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Rocky’s Show 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tribal Storm 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Captain N. Barron 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Convex 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Fire When Ready 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 D K’s Crown 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Royal Seeker 20.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Dizzy Dancer 20.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Cannonball Comin 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Malibu Alex 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Howbeit 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 6 Bronn 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Handsome Cat 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 7 Silardi 4.00 3 6-1
7 5 Alcools 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Octopus 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Promise Nothing 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Antithetical 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 No Longer Silent 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fratelli 1.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Single Me Out 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Rinse and Repeat 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Johnny Podres 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Afternoon Heat 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 I Will Not 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Perfect Wager 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Hollywood Heat 30.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Asaro 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Princess Tale 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Anatolia 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Little Miss Belle 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Zahra 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Slew’s Screen Star 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Our Bonnie Lass 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Keep It Classy 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Magical Smile 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Turkish Angel 50.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Slamin’ Daddy 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kiss of Congrats 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Perfect Edition 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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