December 17, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Incredible Luck | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Write Me a Song | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Mosco | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Socks | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tyler’s Tek | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Sequoia | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tequila Blanco | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Remembertobreathe | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Teeth | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Muhney Line | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Ronton | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Unstoppable Guy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stylish in Red | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ya Beauty (GB) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Loves Karaoke | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Stormborn | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mojo Mama | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carelesswitdatruth | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A J Rock | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Arch | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Please Me | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torquay | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kiss of Congrats | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bandon Colleen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cojo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Discount | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Ricardo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brananx | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Command | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catbernay | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fleet Roy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Dude | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mancuso At the Mic | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Henrietta | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chief Jackson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stone’s River | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Apache Pass | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Well Done Sally | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Real Good Deal | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ever Vigilant | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billy K | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glitter Gulch | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deltary | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Life | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brite Tan | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goddess Aphrodite | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dairy Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pasito | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Purdue | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Mom | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Bird | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cioppino Pasadino | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Just Classy | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Give Me a Hint | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hit It Twice | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Chrome | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Come On Kat | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Luv Is All U Need | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Sugaratsundown | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fabozzi | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Implicitly | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sizzling Jamie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R Cha Cha | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Storm | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Most Determined | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Debt Monger | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lifeline | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Honor | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aotearoa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Hydrogen | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Info’s Treasure | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Figura (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lucky Stepper | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Realrealgood | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heart River | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kayda | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wine At Sunset | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sapphire Silk | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unchain Her Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Reds Tribal Heart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blackout (FR) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Lovejoy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sequentially | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oil Can Knight | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet River Baines | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flip the Coin Jan | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Scotty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coco’s Joy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Squared Shady | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sircat Nelly | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swift Nonni | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ten the Smart Way | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always for Money | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zu Zu Flynn | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amazen Grazen | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chieftess Aine | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jeanne B | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Military Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Complete Control | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.