December 16, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Prinecess Doir | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Hypernova | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Texas Spring | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Fancy Gi Gi | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Runaway Henny | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | World Party | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Mopsicle | 1.20 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Doeny Sparks | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Half Heroine | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Guilty Confession | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Fickle Flash | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Grillin | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Queen Shasta | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Rose Crown | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Viking Voyage | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Tincan Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Reposado | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 7 | Pepper Jack | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Dodger | 1.80 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
5 | 4 | Touch of Gold | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
7 | 5 | Real Brave | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
8 | 6 | Our Blue Jay | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
4 | 3 | Dit | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Diside | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
6 | 6 | Muffin Nuts | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Pillager | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | My Half | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Running Rosado | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Weavemeawinr | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Salute Elle | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Cool Deal | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Imajimmycreed | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Brew Casa | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Amardine | 1.40 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Carson City Cat | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Warned | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Aztec Delite | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Tin Roof Rusted | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | I Rate First | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Holt County | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Wonder Run | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Top Cat Boogie | 3.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Moment | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Lindante | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Don’t Split Tens | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Flashy Image | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Donwell | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 1 | Forgotten Coast | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Hideaway Hero | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Stuart Hall | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1A | 6 | Taste for Talent | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 2 | Allidoisdreamofyou | 1.60 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Olivia’s Duchess | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | This Is My Prayer | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Silver Siren | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Georgia Dawn | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Shesthecatsmeow | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Calaja | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
9 | 9 | Joe G’s Payback | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Temple of Roses | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | Itsnotmyjob | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1A | 6 | Guitarzan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 1 | Speaktomeoflove | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Bold Thirst | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
1 | 2 | Paddock Pick | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Hop Kat | 1.20 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Principe Guilherme | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Hooves Your Daddy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 4 | Headedtothestars | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
8 | 7 | Iron Mandate | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Da’money Alarm | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
7 | 6 | Dusty Hill | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
3 | 2 | Jays Riverwrangler | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
9 | 8 | El Ward | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Crimson Storm | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
4 | 3 | Grey Rogue | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
10 | 9 | Dried Pepper | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.