Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 16, 2020

December 16, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prinecess Doir 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Hypernova 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Texas Spring 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Fancy Gi Gi 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Runaway Henny 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 World Party 3.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Mopsicle 1.20 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Doeny Sparks 20.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Half Heroine 20.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Guilty Confession 1.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Fickle Flash 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Grillin 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Queen Shasta 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Rose Crown 4.50 6.1 11-1
4 4 Viking Voyage 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tincan Man 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Reposado 20.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Pepper Jack 8.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Dodger 1.80 8.5 16-1
5 4 Touch of Gold 8.00 8.5 16-1
7 5 Real Brave 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 6 Our Blue Jay 12.00 8.6 16-1
4 3 Dit 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Diside 15.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Muffin Nuts 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pillager 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Half 20.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Running Rosado 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Weavemeawinr 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Salute Elle 15.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Cool Deal 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Imajimmycreed 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Brew Casa 2.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Amardine 1.40 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carson City Cat 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 D’tuff Cat Rey 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Warned 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Aztec Delite 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tin Roof Rusted 10.00 SCRATCH
8 7 I Rate First 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Holt County 4.50 6.4 12-1
1 1 Wonder Run 1.60 7 13-1
5 5 Top Cat Boogie 3.50 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Moment 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Lindante 20.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Don’t Split Tens 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Flashy Image 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Donwell 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Forgotten Coast 8.00 4 8-1
5 4 Hideaway Hero 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Stuart Hall 3.50 4.9 9-1
1A 6 Taste for Talent 1.60 6.3 12-1
1 2 Allidoisdreamofyou 1.60 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Olivia’s Duchess 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 This Is My Prayer 12.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Silver Siren 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Georgia Dawn 20.00 3 6-1
4 4 Shesthecatsmeow 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Calaja 3.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Joe G’s Payback 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Temple of Roses 4.50 7 13-1
2 2 Itsnotmyjob 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Guitarzan 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Speaktomeoflove 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Bold Thirst 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 2 Paddock Pick 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Big Boy Dave Rex 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hop Kat 1.20 5.3 10-1
5 5 Principe Guilherme 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hooves Your Daddy 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Headedtothestars 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 7 Iron Mandate 20.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Da’money Alarm 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Dusty Hill 20.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Jays Riverwrangler 12.00 1.9 4-1
9 8 El Ward 10.00 2 4-1
2 1 Crimson Storm 5.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 Grey Rogue 10.00 7.9 15-1
10 9 Dried Pepper 2.50 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.