December 15, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tribute Galaxy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Rose | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | St Maria | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Jana | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overly Sweet | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Tooth Pass | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Sapphire | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toshita Forever | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devastating Beauty | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crider Chase | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tornado Ellie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Cat | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | U Complete Me | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | And Yet Another | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty Ike | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Common Law Cat | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dracarys Fire | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goose | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nine Shots | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Waterwild | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Smack | 1.80 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prime Hook | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Special Mischief | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honor and Respect | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Galaxy | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emeraldwaters | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ugottago | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Accustomed to Hope | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Honey’s Money | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Inseparable | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wind Zee | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Milagros | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | G G Has a Shot | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redding Well | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Challenge | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Annie | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twn Palmysdestiny | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mabelee | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paddy O’Belle | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roman Jewels | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Headed Baby | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ella’s Actor | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katama Bay | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Buy In | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Pegasus | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brutalize | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carrier Pigeon | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shot On Windy Hill | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Answer in the Wind | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bayou | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hardly Seen Slim | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | From Now On | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Parade | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mundo Mutadda | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buck Dynasty | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Andy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yeowzer | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancehall Jack | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatakiss | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Weknewuweretrouble | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Quality Production | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hostile Afleet | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Amigo Charlie | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Friday’s Best | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pickens | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Callinginthenight | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yes Bab | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Mr. Production | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Baudette Blizzard | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Bro | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Super Factor | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Second Guess | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Cash | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Front Page | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aqualityindividual | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General Tone | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mutineer | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | When I Do | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Such | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashyboy Bobb | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Canyon Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Cane | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Romantic Beast | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bode Rae | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | My Little Anita | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kleinmeister | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kenya Strike | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Firstslate | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Foxycall | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ruby Stiletto | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Go Figure | 1.60 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Ridge Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Finnleys Encore | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fortheloveoflucy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.