December 13, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hallowed Gift | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ed Gatty | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Should Be Illegal | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonshine Moment | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unmasked | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belham | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barhopsky | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Vader | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Third Ring | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Squalotoro | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Parker | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leprino | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rossman | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kincaid Park | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Gronk | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Etterbay Ucklay | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nietzsche | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surfside Sunset | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doheny Beach | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Musket Powder | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Coil to Strike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | As Time Goes By | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | My Happy Girl | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fierce for Sul | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes Open | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bay Witch | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Ride | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Miss Mo’ Licious | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Aura | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sweet and Softly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Marie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cal’s Gem | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Leader | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final Final | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outright | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaline | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Classic | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Autism Impact | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Factor | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suances Secret | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moraz | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moonlight d’Oro | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Frosteria | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief Free | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Made in Karoo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Full of Laughs | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scarrazano | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghostly Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chevelita | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Minoso | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Hero | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Electoral | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Next Flight | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Torpedo Away | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Continental Union | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chico Baby | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shootin Money | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shortlist | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lionite | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Synthesis | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Seeker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wilshire Dude | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Bob (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bronze Warrior | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Respect the Hustle | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Habobanero | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cheap Cheap Cheap | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trina | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot On the Trail | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loud Loud Music | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ana Lisa | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wandering Patrol | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marilyn’s Smile | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plum Wild | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Streusel | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Li’l Grazen | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Omg It’s Jessica | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strawberryontop | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Okoye | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Another Eddie | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tess’s Wild Cat | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Becca Taylor | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Michelle | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Misty Cat | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shout It Out | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Sunrise | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ten the Smart Way | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sircat Nelly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.