December 13, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Calamity Kat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Nay Maybe (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malraux | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Hand Coop | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sea Trident | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sovereign Warrior | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Pistol | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Franco’s Team | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bahamian Prince | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Congrats That | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | More Than Usual | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kobe Fifty Two | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Another Softball | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Gone to Cabo | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pretzel | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Samurai Fighter | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I’m a Coco Pebbles | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dance for the Sun | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holy Secret | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Backstory | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tonala | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flummoxed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Dropped Anchor | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Speight | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Twelve O One | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Converter | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joshy Jak | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Double David | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ziggy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Foster Hope | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Navajo Creed | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nepomuceno | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Missing Link | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Buy Love | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Foolish Heart | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Fizz | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Crane | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Special Inclusion | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart of God | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jewel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | R Adios Jersey | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elliereeseaston | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yeguita Queen | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dispense | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Playera | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fior Di Latte | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | British Edge | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen Street | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Beauty Boss | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Everthree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Borkan | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chess’s Dream | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | French Affair | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sososubtle | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triple Jeopardy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loyal Louie | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toretto | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magical Adventure | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quinto Sol | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chipshape | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Capitan Fofo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Risk | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamonds Enjoy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Zeus | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chill Haze | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Brother | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bahamian Beat | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road to Peace | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Valiant Appeal | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Spun Glass | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Yare N Dira | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lagertha (CHI) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Deplorable | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Roman d’Oro | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lenzi’s Lucky Lady | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Something Magical | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiffle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Nadine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | With Verve | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Grace | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cajun Brother | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | As Seen On Tv | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Take Command | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Running for Riz | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shot Tanker (CHI) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Morocco | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stirling Drive | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Max K. O. | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sniper Kitten | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artemus Bridge | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Durocher | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Mo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Seamus | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Troubling Moon | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Honor (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Projected (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Vision | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reinagol | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viva La Red | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Third Time Around | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spill the Tea | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Classic Secret | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Candy Jar | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kay’s Project | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Emunah | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Encounter | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Imagery | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.