December 13, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palvera | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Soul Song | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rose’s Galaxy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Half Again | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Adrenaline | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tactical Priority | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Aly’s Charm | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spellbinding | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gifted Talent | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Isle Girl | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mi Lia | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Harborage | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go My Juliet | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Missing Piece | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bobbies Reason | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lauralee Cocodree | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Star’s Dream | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dori’s Birdies | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Breezin Bye You | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blue Ridge Heat | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Younmehoneybunny | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emery’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Floatie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Seven Scents | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dowse’s Beach | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Western Trouble | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Kodiak | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Future Ruler | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hilton Magic | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hotfoot | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Killeen | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Original Intent | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cap Rock Miner | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overzealous | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Citali | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Half Trick | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Halo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gato Americano | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chikara | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | North of Eden | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Herbs Love | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glamorized | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barbess | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | According to Aspen | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cubs Win | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romani | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marrazano | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Limage | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | December Seven | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blackberry Wine | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glory Road | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Job Security | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Totally Jimbo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapage | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wandering West | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Trident Hit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whimsical Muse | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Miss | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes It’s Ginger | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Specially | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lillie Dell | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luvin Bullies | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mom’s Red Lipstick | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cobra Casablanca | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bye Bye Bertie | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sensible Myth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Royal Priority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thetruthisthetruth | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Philly Wins | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halfglamorous | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Linda | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Is Hot | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Platinum Sky | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ours Forever | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | G’s Squeeze | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kittenofthe Court | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shooting Stick | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.