Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 13, 2020

December 13, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Palvera 1.20 2.4 5-1
6 5 Soul Song 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Rose’s Galaxy 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Half Again 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Adrenaline 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Tactical Priority 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Aly’s Charm 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Spellbinding 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Gifted Talent 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Grand Isle Girl 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Mi Lia 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Lucky Harborage 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Go My Juliet 30.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 The Missing Piece 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Bobbies Reason 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Lauralee Cocodree 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 7 Star’s Dream 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Dori’s Birdies 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Breezin Bye You 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Blue Ridge Heat 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Younmehoneybunny 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Emery’s Dream 15.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Floatie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Seven Scents 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Dowse’s Beach 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Western Trouble 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Star of Kodiak 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Future Ruler 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Hilton Magic 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Hotfoot 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Killeen 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Original Intent 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cap Rock Miner 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Overzealous 1.40 3.1 6-1
1 1 Citali 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Half Trick 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Dream Halo 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Gato Americano 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chikara 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 North of Eden 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Herbs Love 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Glamorized 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Barbess 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 According to Aspen 4.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Cubs Win 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Romani 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Marrazano 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Limage 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 December Seven 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Blackberry Wine 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Glory Road 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Job Security 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Totally Jimbo 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tapage 20.00 5 10-1
4 4 Wandering West 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Trident Hit 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Whimsical Muse 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Sterling Miss 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Yes It’s Ginger 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Specially 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 8 Lillie Dell 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Luvin Bullies 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Mom’s Red Lipstick 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Cobra Casablanca 10.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Bye Bye Bertie 12.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Sensible Myth 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Royal Priority 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thetruthisthetruth 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Philly Wins 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Halfglamorous 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lucky Linda 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Summer Is Hot 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Platinum Sky 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Ours Forever 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 G’s Squeeze 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Kittenofthe Court 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Shooting Stick 12.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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