December 13, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wings of Fire | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empress Luciana | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yes Your Honor | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Lindsey | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roma Carpe | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cemetery V I P | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crick | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Excited Feeling | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Beaver Creek | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dubai Bobby | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Bobby | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loverboy Lou | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rejected Again | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Great Dansky | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Wicked Charm | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Move | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Firenze Freedom | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Kitten | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Singular Sensation | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mrs. Orb | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kilkea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Unbridled Honor | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Constitutional Law | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Risk Taking | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Reds | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rock Sugar | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardison | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dazzle Time | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lochinvar (GER) | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Wicked Title | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Black Belt | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grudge | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flashpackinbarbie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Haze | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookbothways | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wedontbelieveher | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Appletini | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dashi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Evan’s Nice Now | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cartwheel | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Annie | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wailin Josie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Awesome Alana | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dragoness | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Micromillion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Peaches and Spice | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Grit and Glory | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flowers for Lisa | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runabout | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orpheus (ARG) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Outrageous Bet | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Access | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chief Know It All | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot Diggitty | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hawaiian Noises | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | High Command | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brush Country | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Daphne Moon | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Foxtail | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ujjayi | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Persisto | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Indy Union | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jennemily | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gracetown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s a Lumberjane | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Nicky Scissors | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | La Negrita | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Dare to Try | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 13 | Left Leaning Lucy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gagliano | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Lasagna | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shannon’s Girl | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cruising Strong | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tripp Road | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Touch of Nirvana | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Well Brush Mytooth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Gringotts | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dazzling Speed | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Sarahrini | 50.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.