December 12, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Mountain | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Heat | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Envy | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Tigress | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shez Our Arch | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trophy Chest | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betty’s Bambina | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | C Falls | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Direct Line | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Indy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Polish | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juror | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Your Jets | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Luvluv | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Wicks and Chappies | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Sonny | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cocoa Cents | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Star Kissed | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Rachel | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bruja Escarlata | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Naansense | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bottle Neck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Meso | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take a Leap | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Ice Storm | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Invincibella (GB) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Barbarian | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Ms Jones | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splashing | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brickyard Ride | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Manhattan Up | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Bango | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anyportinastorm | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Vargas | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparky Ville | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fast Cotton | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flying Business | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friend of Autism | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zelaia | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kissable U | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sherilinda | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Surely a Smile | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Justa Poppin | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smokin Hot Bobbie | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raelee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sadie Bluegrass | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paid Informant | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Matera | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lavender (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Wonderfully | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clockstrikestwelve | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Iris (GB) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Megan | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Peridot | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Mo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Novella | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Soviet Problem S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Westward Breeze | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sensible Cat | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dylans Wild Cat | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m So Anna | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Governor Goteven | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Game | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Glorious | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucha Woman | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Will Take a Kiss | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eddie’s New Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Love Wins | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little No Way | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame It On Kitty | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bitter Ring Home | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will Dancer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Six Point Rack | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Playing Through | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxinamillion | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Punaluu | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Esken | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devil’s Teeth | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kylemore | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rate for Me | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.