Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 12, 2020

December 12, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trading Cents 30.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Expect Talk 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Scarlet Tanager 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Utterly Enchanting 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Adabel 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Cougar Vision 1.80 6.9 13-1
3 3 Youknowwhatitizzz 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Manklin Creek 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Strictly Business 20.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Luxero 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Doublbarrelbourbon 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Goldie’s Boy 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 So Dialed In 0.80 6.9 13-1
3 3 End All Get All 3.50 8 15-1
5 5 Katie’s Notion 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nine Martinis 5.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Head for the Shore 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Grace Isabella 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Tapete Claire 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 I Love You 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Starting Tour 2.50 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Sky Painter 15.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Johng 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Despite Odds 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 McQueen’s Bullitt 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Super Houdini 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Roof Top Bar 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Unbeknownst to Me 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Mo American 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Stephanopoulos 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dream Big Dreams 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Manor House 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Gold Fellow 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Eric’s Empire 10.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Camp Pendleton 15.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Rapid Response 10.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Moss Boss 15.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Tipyourhattothat 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Rippolino 3.50 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Created Special 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Talented Dr. B 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Victory Given 10.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Cooke Brothers 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Dapper Mun 20.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Robber Bob 3.50 1.9 4-1
11 11 Meo Desperado 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mr. Chesapeakecity 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Gone Home 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Big Hambone 15.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Save Me Paula 30.00 3 6-1
7 7 Korczak 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Indian Lake 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Bribery 15.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Just Nod and Smile 20.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Little Lion 15.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Theduke of Hazzard 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Boss Logic 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Silver Sun 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Passage of Lines 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Twitty City 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Irishtown 30.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Dashing Lou 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Invest 3.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 In Him With Him 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Moti 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Woodbury 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Wild About Deb 15.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Imagine Victory 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Miss Philly Dilly 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Zola B 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Normalizeddeviance 30.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Maliceinthepalace 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Running On Entry 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Along the Way 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Steely Band 8.00 2.5 5-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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