Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 12, 2020

December 12, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 A Political Rose 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Jess Sweet Time 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bp Fancy Girl 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Ought to Go Tee 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Sheza Freighttrain T 1.40 4.7 9-1
7 7 Apollitcal Bye 20.00 5 10-1
12 12 He B Swift 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Ms Runaway Presence 8.00 6 11-1
10 10 Sir Louisiana Dash 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Tmf Rogue Runner 30.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Tdz Shes a Runaway 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Sheza Zoomin Memory 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Special Politico 4.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Jess Redwhiteandblue 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Apollitical Bug 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mardi Gras Paint 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Jess U R Blue 3.50 4.5 9-1
11 11 Flash of Light 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Hh Gailforce 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Brileys Prize 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Good Timing Mann 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Rlr Coronas Girl 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Painted by Perry 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Patriot On Ice 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lightemupwithcharm 4.00 2 4-1
10 10 Mpshinning 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 No Politics Here 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Happie Happie Happie 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Tuckers Prize 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Barjaxs 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Five Bar Jewel 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Fabulously Black 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Eysa Jess Jumpn 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Achievopiloto 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 My Pepper Ann 4.00 4.2 8-1
9 6 Theboyzgalaxy 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Distractor Factor 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Memory Magic 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 5 Crimson Feline 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 3 Sincerity 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 4 C’Estbon C’Estbon 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 For Real Alice 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Vita 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Elle Corredora 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Front Money Morgan 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Big Time 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 5 Mrs. Judy 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Spirited Beauty 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Rue Lala 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Taylor Avenue 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 7 Tecate Time 8.00 5 10-1
9 8 Strummer 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Twin Sisters 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Platinum Sky 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Remembermis 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 2 Rahfees Man 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 The Mo U No 4.50 3.9 7-1
11 6 Rifle Man 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 3 Like Mike 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 4 Cajun Pinata 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Star Banjo 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mangelsen 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 My First Guitar 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Papa’s Boy 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Reluctant Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Diamond Crazy 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Snowball 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Mr. Al’s Gal 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Southern Liaison 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Our Lost Love 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Vacherie Girl 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Southern Beauty 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Steph’sfullasugar 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Is Too 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Offspring 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Net a Bear 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Room to Finish 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Marywood 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Alliaceous 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Lil Ashley B. 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Laughingsaintssong 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Monte Man 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Yankee Seven 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Bertie’s Galaxy 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 5 Classy John 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Win Ya Win 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Silver Galaxy 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 X Clown 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Takes Two to Tango 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 No Pedigree 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 8 Standing Perfect 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 7 Cohere 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 5 Sir Wellington 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ebony Flash 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 3 War Savvy 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 2 Chu Chu’s Legacy 4.50 5.1 10-1
12 10 Janets Jay Jay 12.00 5.5 10-1
11 9 Amicus Brief 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 6 K T’s Jilted Groom 30.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Ready for Love 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fifty Protection 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ninety One Assault 1.80 2.4 5-1
2 2 Budro Talking 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Afleet Ascent 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Changi 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Carlea’s Dream 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Treys Midnite Moon 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Unrestricted 12.00 5 10-1
4 4 Guitar Tribute 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Musical Man 30.00 6.9 13-1
11 10 Kingdom Way 30.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Sydster 5.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Jax Man 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shang 1.60 2.3 4-1
8 8 Underpressure 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Sydster 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Mageez 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Grand Luwegee 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Jus Lively 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Social Afleet 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Freedomfi 30.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Musta Got Lost 3.50 1.4 3-1
9 8 Guice 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Cajun Cannon 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Ready for Love 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Everlovinghand 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Get the Net 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Fifty Protection 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Jackie Moon 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Father Goose 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Banquet Chef 15.00 6.3 12-1
13 11 Widdle Zee 30.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Mr. Universe 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Your Time’s Coming 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Chainsaw Al 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sarah’s Vision 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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