December 11, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Hidden Promise | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Satchel de Ritches | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trump Um | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mister McLean | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foreign Protocol | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eustace | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nathansmimsy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Rocket | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Box | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Duke | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autism Ability | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ben Wade | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Copper Halo | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Falcons Fury | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A Little Bit Lucky | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Don Looney | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lozlovian | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Luxury Liner | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Righteously | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commas Save Lives | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Kaela | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joymaker | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sober | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nova Star | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Rithms | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cute Maui Girl | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Exchange Vows | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Risen Lady | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Mistress | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Untouched Elegance | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bounty of Gold | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carrie’s Success | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Livy (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coastal Starlite | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Sundae | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Durga | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Back Beauty | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Chrome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer Rose | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish Channel | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Livin’ At the Bu | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gemma Royal | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dee Gee | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Pass | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Catholic | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Win Like Coach P | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Verry Bossy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Medina Spirit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Democrat | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Eagle Chief | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Class Dad | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kennebec | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sensemaker | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Racing Ace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | It’s My House | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Diva’s Finale | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Acting Out | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Melis | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Fraulein | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hotitude | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jewel Thief | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Square Peggy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andyoushallreceive | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Cover Charge | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tip Top Gal | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Devils Dance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Western Smoke | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Squared Straight | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Jockey | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Dance | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luckenbach | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Moon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mobjack | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Asset | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Awol | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.