December 10, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Queen Carmelita | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sybil’s Kitty | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starza | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Girona | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Galwalksintoabar | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wine At Sunset | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lyrically Violent | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spectacular Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Phantom Indian | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run the Blues Away | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Rebekah | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Appeal | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Streaming Tiger | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Your Coil | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Ralphie | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Lady | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alysse | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bekele | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Military Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dontmesswithtess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Colosi | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Governance | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Blitz | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pioneerofthestorm | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friendly Outthedor | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Barrel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vodka Twist | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T Bones Trick | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bodega | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leatherneck | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | You’re All Talk | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pirates Cross | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Big | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Later Days | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Molokini | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Cold Lady | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cold Brew Kelly | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marvelous Marvella | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Vicky | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Lola | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Hoochie Mama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brewed Big | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paige Runner | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lady Brexit | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugary | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gratzie (GB) | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Destiny’s Journey | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Bold Princess | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot On the Trail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 98 | Free My Soul | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Avalon Ride | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Seau | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jan’s Reserve | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cimpl Man | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Impression | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Implicitly | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uber Star | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Contagion | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Remembertobreathe | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tobacco Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Lifeline | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heartfullofstars | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shane Zain | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Littlebitamedal | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Italiano | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Self Taught | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camby | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Magic | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hot Pursuit | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Meetmeincali | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Artistic | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lili’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dryspell | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Mischief | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Santiago’s Wish | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Light My Tiger | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Hy Roller | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Point | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Autism Can Do | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Walking With Dino | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.