Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 10, 2020

December 10, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smile Bryan 1.60 2.4 5-1
4 3 Cavaradossi 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Qian B C 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Tapizearance 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Money in the Bank 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Complexifier 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Excellent Timing 1.60 1.1 2-1
7 6 Lindros 3.00 1.3 3-1
5 4 Scherzando 10.00 3 6-1
6 5 Forty Two Ace 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Full Moon Fever 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 My Brother Neil 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Son of an Ex 30.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 A Longlongtimeago 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Legit 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Someday Jones 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Malibu Pro 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Roaming Union 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Control Group 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Twisted Tom 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ekhtibaar 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9A 6 Malibu Star 1.40 1 2-1
6A 4 Citizen West 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Sul Candy 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Ethos 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 5 Risk Profile 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 3 Corkman 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Beckenbauer 50.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ajhar 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Southerner 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Amortization (IRE) 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Coal Shaft 8.00 2.9 6-1
10 9 Baby Blythe 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Fedalia 6.00 3.3 6-1
3A 3 Miss Bonnie T 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Palm Court 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Brina 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Broken Table (IRE) 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Twiddle 30.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 My Girl Blue 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Obligatory 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Iaintfraidanoghost 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Plum Awesome 1.60 SCRATCH
15A 15 Miss Delicious 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ricelle 50.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wudda U Think Now 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Cold Hard Cash 2.00 5 9-1
14 10 Farragut 12.00 5.1 10-1
13 9 Kaz’s Beach 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Jerry the Nipper 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Unrelenting Force 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Dancers for Token 30.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Advanced Strategy 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jack Bo 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Three Jokers 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Troubleshooter 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Too Early 20.00 SCRATCH
15 11 Run for Boston 30.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 The Last Ace 30.00 10.8 20-1
10 8 Flatexcel 50.00 12.9 24-1
9 7 Forever Wicked 50.00 13.3 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Anzio Beach 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dangerous Edge 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 No Lime 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 No Salt 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Bronxville 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Diannesimpazible 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Mr. Fidget 15.00 6.1 11-1
13 13 Joy City 12.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 My Amanjena 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Fotis 20.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Larceny 30.00 9.2 17-1
15 15 Bahamian Park 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Honorable Avenue 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 King of American 50.00 10.9 21-1
10 10 Knight Frost 50.00 13.3 25-1
14 14 Lightning Rob 50.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Astoria Kitten 8.00 3.4 6-1
1A 1 Canarsie Angel 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Fresco 1.60 3.7 7-1
9A 9 She So Naughty 5.00 4 7-1
6 6 Ancient Brown 15.00 4 8-1
11 11 Summer At the Spa 3.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Graetz 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Doll 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Itsakeyper 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Monificent 30.00 7 13-1
7 7 Magical Romance 50.00 9 17-1
12 12 Honey Money 1.80 SCRATCH
13 13 Ruvies in Time 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Breithorn 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 Orphan Hallie 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lady’s Boy 10.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 The Beast and I 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Loaded Joe 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Warfront Fighter 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Mucho Sunshine 12.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 King Slaughter 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Wild Cat West 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Confectioner 12.00 5 10-1
6 6 Mariner Qui 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Alite 50.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Go to Scoreboard