December 9, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Song Spectacular | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 4 | Inlike Flen | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
10 | 9 | Silky’s Dance | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cheveyo | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
9 | 8 | Big Band’s Luck | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
11 | 11 | Wendy’s Will | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Louisiana Jazz | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
6 | 5 | Favorite Son | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
12 | 12 | Pennies Lil Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Big Count | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
7 | 6 | Good Air | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bourbon Revenge | 2.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Little Toe | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Indium | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Soldiers Letter | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Valley of the Hide | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Apalachee Bay | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Song N a Cat | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Hatties Jewel | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Academy Bay | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Carols Cupcake | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | T J’s Sunshine | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Grace’s Gal | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
9 | 9 | Enduring Peace | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Star Fashion | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Back Inthat Action | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
10 | 10 | Mischief Girl | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Kimmy | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Lil Beau Pete | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Scampering Grayce | 1.80 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 8 | Kye’s Addycat | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Dubnation | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Little Red Kid | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1A | 5 | Gran Red | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Zens Secret | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
6 | 7 | Interactif Moment | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
8 | 9 | Flash Me Back | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
5 | 6 | Homeland Messa | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Mine Inspector | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
9 | 10 | Kurts Raider | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Porque Si | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
10 | 9 | Major Freak | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Fireman Sid | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
8 | 7 | Grover Capote | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
9 | 8 | Zyzack | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ray’s Kimua | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
3 | 3 | Ambassador House | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
7 | 6 | Gaspergou | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
5 | 5 | My Little Adrian | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sobek | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Lone Star Class | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Flashlightsecurity | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Zarla | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
11 | 11 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Gladys’ Frontier | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Paper Doll | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Dixieland Flash | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
12 | 12 | D’wild Muffin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | No No No | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Irish Priority | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | She’s Seventeen | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sassy Mallory | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Quiet Trip | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
3 | 3 | Crescent Lace | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Crocodile Jacques | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Get It to Geaux | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Bushido Samurai | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | I B Revolutionery | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | I’m d’Cat | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | He’s an Honest Man | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Gobler | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Double Cool | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Blaising Guitar | 1.80 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Man Camp | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
10 | 10 | My Sister Annette | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Reddy to Bet | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Slither | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Saturday’s Gold | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | King Cookie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Hooray Austin | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Heza Priority | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
11 | 11 | Halfmoon Reef | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Hot Apriority | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Mr. Priority | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 12 | Drax | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | Brook Is Golden | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
10 | 9 | Fast Dude | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
11 | 10 | Racin Rocks | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Egomaniac | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Saving Argument | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Charming Bullet | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Redding Coteau | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cape Town Willy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mogowan | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 5 | Highly Centsable | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Move It | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.