December 5, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sharona Sunset | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Norma’s Love | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pasito | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laker Jet | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Union Smartie | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luv Is All U Need | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Cowgirl | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Standard | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlotte Louise | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Starza | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Be Lifted Up | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vidalia | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Siena Silk | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vangogo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Little Miss Belle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Palm d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | M Fast | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fierce Kitty | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tico Time | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Slamin’ Daddy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Listen Linda | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Something Chatter | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Luck | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kalliniki | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saving Sophie | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stradari | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Verrazano | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rickie Nine Toe’s | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Kitty | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ballet Royalty | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dairy Kid | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Excess Coil | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Theluteismine | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alpine Thunder | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Standing O | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Pegasus | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proud Lion | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Kristin | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Omph | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rowdy Oh | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Williams Dream | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unhinged | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Man Bags | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Proud Musket | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Starlet S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Noor | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astute | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kalypso | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Varda | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nasreddine | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honor America | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Flyer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Absolute Anna | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lunatic | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Melody | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Mystify | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jump Into the Fire | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Backtoflash | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kind But She Lies | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chrome of Our Own | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghostly Gal | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ginja | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bound to Bet | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shady Empire | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Johnny Podres | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Single Me Out | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Psycho Dar | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mon Camo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flicflac | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sound Judgment | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Detangler | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Encounter | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Fanny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Treasure | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Margot’s Boy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Silver Oak | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colour Me Happy (GB) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mugaritz | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Popular Kid | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strike Me Down | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Daddy Go | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Refuge | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shimmer Me Timbers | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luckys Last Stand | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Father O’Flaherty | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stalking Shadow | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tribal Nation | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Robin’s Legacy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Gem | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ben’s a Goalie | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hard Metal | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mancuso At the Mic | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Detective Bernardo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Autism Can Do | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.