December 4, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Seeker | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Line | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Write Me a Song | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Love | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ladies Man | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proudtobesicilian | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No More Fireball | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | P Town Titan | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Minoso | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leprino | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galloping Mischief | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Parking Here | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tromador | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bob’s Sniper | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calder Vale | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barbiere | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suances Secret | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Western Rule | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pizza Charlie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash of Glory | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Call Sign Lucky | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Presto Bench | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Child Sbud | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flactem Legacy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Big Endeavor | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raise a Hallelujah | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Russian Diplomat | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deputy Gary | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Light My Tiger | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cryin’ Chuck | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bad Gary | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Show Business | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shake N Fries | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Romano | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain N. Barron | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark and Dandy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D K’s Crown | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rineshaft | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Earle Gray | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | You’reright Again | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unstoppable Guy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zagrah (GB) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | True Mischief | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elegant Silk | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Be Lucky | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocketann | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Slew’s Screen Star | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moreavino | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Angel | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turkish Angel | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mira Loma Madam | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bronn | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Rejoyce | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fratelli | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tizhotndusty | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zorich | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natural History | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wine and Whisky | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nonno’s Polaris | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bam Bam Again | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat White | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | La Aguililla | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shylock Eddie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Althea Gibson | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Sunrise | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot On the Trail | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Drop | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Felony One | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wishful | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Miss Ellie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Trina | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ana Lisa | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eye On Tiger | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Noble Pursuit | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Ryan Seven | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seizetheday Rexy | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Git On Your Pulpit | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | With Due Cause | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Clutch | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gov From Above | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mobjack | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Manny Run | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunademiel | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Barhopsky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Union Dance | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.