Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 4, 2020

December 4, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Market Development 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Todaystheday 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Twirling Fire 2.50 3.7 7-1
10 9 Compiler (IRE) 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Big Red Style 15.00 5 10-1
12 11 Even More Royal 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Artista 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Black V. K. 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 8 Tin Roof Rusty 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 10 Deputy Indy 30.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Market Economy 30.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Champion Up 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rich’s Rags 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Makinalegacy 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Comiskey Park 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Took a Cab 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Prince Igor 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Debbie’s Road 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 El Gran Pichon 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Enano Astray 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Gran Patron 15.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Salto Del Sabio (CHI) 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Express Boy 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Antigone 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 6 Cactus Kitten 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Galileos Ballerina 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Josefa 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Zandrea’s 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Tailadios 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Cherokee Sound 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Miss Over There 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Leo’s Diamond 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Strong Ending 2.50 2 4-1
6 5 Tio Wil 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Bon Prix 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Dream d’Oro 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Uncaptured King 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 One Fast 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Cairo Campaign 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Camellia Gal 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Remarkable Silver 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Baby Girl 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Truly 3.50 4.7 9-1
8 7 Love Ranger 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Terrible Tara 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 V K Legacy 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Revveduplikeadeuce 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Pearlescent 15.00 7.5 14-1
12 11 Smirkotch 15.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Catiras Team 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Our West Indy 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Herculina 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mystical Charge 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fina 30.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Exxtop 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Silver Dollar City 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 True Identity 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Little Dude 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Chucky 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Ninja 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Globaltroublecoco 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Cuate 30.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Painted Rags 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shining Through 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Light Fury 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sharetheblame 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Cark 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Can’t Have Enough 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Power (BRZ) 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Kramden 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Barbie’s King 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Small Reason 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Carson City Kid 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Warrior’s Pride 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Tiger 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Paladio 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Famous Gent 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 The Ice Beast 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Jolting Joe 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Flowmotion 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 7 Myamanoi 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Rhythmia 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 Silenced 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 American Phenom 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Threshold 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Starship Aramis 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Lets Play Hardball 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Small Hope 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Positive Phil 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Time for Trouble 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bacano 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Spinning Kitten 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Souper Jaguar 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Tons of Gold 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Mason’s Song 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Captain D 20.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Scar 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Budget Buster 30.00 10 19-1
10 10 Manoffire 30.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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