December 3, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Tapit Baby | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Gal | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Run Now Estella | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Flat Out Flirty | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Miami Rose | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1 | 10 | Grace Forever | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 3 | Saint Kennedy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
8 | 7 | Aunt Sunshine | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
6 | 5 | Hurricane Tizway | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
7 | 6 | Champagne Affair | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
1A | 12 | Majestic Edge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | True Friend | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Subject to Call | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | My Amigo Charlie | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Daddy Cool Cat | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Last Appeal | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Marvelous Red | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Wild Firemaker | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
1 | 1 | Shack Partout | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Glory to Me | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | May Blossom | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Runpeggyrun | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Cozzene Zing | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Seven Come Eleven | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
1 | 1 | At Once | 1.80 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
2 | 2 | Birdcatmouse | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | American Rebel | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | American Mom | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Opportunity Cost | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 8 | Overlyappealing | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
10 | 10 | G Cisive | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bluewater Cat | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Halos Prayer | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Honor My Speed | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | King Zippy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Grand Omega | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
9 | 9 | Go Get That | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
6 | 6 | All Bizness | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
11 | 11 | Zens Secret | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Interactif Moment | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3 | Knight’s Honor | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ultimate Force | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
9 | 8 | My Wicked Wish | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | She a Hot Mess | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Jersey Hottie | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
8 | 7 | Infinite Purgatory | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Rachie Rach | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
10 | 9 | Shanghai Hetty | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | Shacks River | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
1A | 11 | Maiden Rock | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Theboyztap | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Mischief’s Machine | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Dynamo Kid | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Black Sword | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Perfect Sense | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Now Tiz Time | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Carrier Pigeon | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Elusive d’Oro | 1.80 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Berko | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Masterly | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Big Guy Ian | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Smooth Colliery | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Wonder Run | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Ravens Reflection | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Big Em C | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Royal Privacy | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | Set Hut | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Lovethatcause | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Tigerbeach | 5.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 7 | Flashing Angelbaby | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
11 | 9 | Ebrio | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Buxterhooter | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Outofthisgalaxy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Gentrified | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
10 | 8 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tabia | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Broadway Ice | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
6 | 5 | Born Again George | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Boston Repo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | King of the Testo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Why Joey Why | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Minister Mickey | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Moonshinerboy | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
6 | 6 | Flashburn | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
10 | 10 | Roundabout Patrol | 2.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mr True | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
2 | 2 | Dream Twister | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
9 | 9 | Nate’s Fury | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
4 | 4 | Tiz Can Fly | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Hard Twist | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dewey’s Little Joe | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
11 | 11 | Silky’s Dance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | My Little Adrian | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.