Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 3, 2020

December 3, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tapit Baby 20.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Gal 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Run Now Estella 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Flat Out Flirty 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Miami Rose 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 10 Grace Forever 5.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Saint Kennedy 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Aunt Sunshine 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Hurricane Tizway 6.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Champagne Affair 2.50 8.1 15-1
1A 12 Majestic Edge 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 True Friend 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Subject to Call 15.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 My Amigo Charlie 1.80 1.8 3-1
7 7 Daddy Cool Cat 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Last Appeal 5.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Marvelous Red 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Wild Firemaker 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Shack Partout 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Glory to Me 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 May Blossom 20.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Runpeggyrun 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Cozzene Zing 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Seven Come Eleven 3.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 At Once 1.80 7.3 14-1
2 2 Birdcatmouse 4.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 American Rebel 6.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 American Mom 15.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Opportunity Cost 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Overlyappealing 20.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 G Cisive 30.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Bluewater Cat 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Halos Prayer 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Honor My Speed 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 King Zippy 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Grand Omega 8.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Go Get That 3.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 All Bizness 5.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Zens Secret 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Interactif Moment 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Knight’s Honor 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Ultimate Force 2.00 1.3 2-1
9 8 My Wicked Wish 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 She a Hot Mess 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Jersey Hottie 10.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Infinite Purgatory 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Rachie Rach 15.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Shanghai Hetty 20.00 2.4 5-1
2 1 Shacks River 6.00 2.5 5-1
1A 11 Maiden Rock 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Theboyztap 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lafitte’s Fleet 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Mischief’s Machine 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Dynamo Kid 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Black Sword 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Perfect Sense 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Now Tiz Time 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Carrier Pigeon 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Elusive d’Oro 1.80 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Berko 15.00 2 4-1
6 6 Masterly 20.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Big Guy Ian 3.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Luke’s Cajun Star 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Smooth Colliery 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Wonder Run 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Ravens Reflection 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Big Em C 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Royal Privacy 6.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Set Hut 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lovethatcause 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tigerbeach 5.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Flashing Angelbaby 20.00 2 4-1
11 9 Ebrio 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Buxterhooter 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Outofthisgalaxy 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Gentrified 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 8 Fire Blaster 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Tabia 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Broadway Ice 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Born Again George 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Boston Repo 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 King of the Testo 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Why Joey Why 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Minister Mickey 30.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Moonshinerboy 6.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Flashburn 15.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Roundabout Patrol 2.50 9.4 18-1
5 5 Mr True 6.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Dream Twister 10.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Nate’s Fury 8.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Tiz Can Fly 10.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Hard Twist 5.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Dewey’s Little Joe 15.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Silky’s Dance 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Little Adrian 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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