Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 2, 2020

December 2, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sooner Schooner 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Imajimmycreed 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Greatest Gal 2.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sweet Carolina 3.00 6.5 12-1
7 6 Miss Dawn 15.00 7 13-1
9 7 That’s a Song 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Brew Casa 4.50 7.3 14-1
6 6 My Half 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Salute Elle 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Perfect Justice 20.00 2 4-1
5 5 Riskey Trickey 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Toni’s Star 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Coach O’Shea 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Alan’s Argument 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Parlay Pete 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Golden Tiger 1.60 6.7 13-1
2 2 Ouachita 10.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Pepper Jack 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Tincan Man 10.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 High Ridge 4.50 6.4 12-1
7 6 Everydayschristmas 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Runciman 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Tin Delay 3.50 7.4 14-1
3 3 Muffin Nuts 1.60 7.4 14-1
2 2 Prince Loki 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Tap a Miracle 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Big Cane 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Drewsizzle 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Steppin’ Outonher 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Warned 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Philly 1.80 5.4 10-1
7 6 So Sorry Ruston 15.00 6 11-1
6 5 Bet Again 4.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 Tin Roof Rusted 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Sermononthemount 12.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Rather Precocious 10.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Run Ethan Run 20.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Floor General 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 8 Mean Cannon 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Friendofthecourt 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Crimson Storm 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Dried Pepper 3.50 7.2 14-1
7 7 Oxbow Wind 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Last Battle 15.00 2.4 5-1
7 5 Cheeseburger 20.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Calculate 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 3 Sandbagger Al 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 Chitto 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 6 Destinedtobeastar 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 7 Frank the Mayor 5.00 5.8 11-1
1A 12 Dynamo Kid 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shake It 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Have a Plan 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Best Little Man 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Soul Ready 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Moonfield 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Andthebandplayedon 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Gentlemen’s Girl 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 2 Ten Count Out 1.60 5.4 10-1
2 1 New Orleans Spice 4.50 5.7 11-1
6 5 Lady Belacqua 3.00 6.2 12-1
1A 8 Swiftown Miss 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Tiz the Time 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Halostar 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 My Book 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Power Jet 1.60 2.7 5-1
1 1 Arctic Rose 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Luckenbacher 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Love to Singh 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Charlies Ticket 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Langs Day 4.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tornado Ellie 12.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Arancia 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Bayou Tigre 30.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Wild Charlie 12.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Fayola 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Broke and Praying 8.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Racelynn 20.00 9 17-1
5 5 Causewaycat 10.00 9 17-1
3 3 My Heart Dominus 4.50 9.5 18-1
11 11 Don’t Blink Twice 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Miss Private Eye 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lawsuit Lucy 1.40 10.3 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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