December 2, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sooner Schooner | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imajimmycreed | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greatest Gal | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Carolina | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Dawn | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | That’s a Song | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brew Casa | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Half | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Salute Elle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Justice | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riskey Trickey | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toni’s Star | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coach O’Shea | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alan’s Argument | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parlay Pete | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Tiger | 1.60 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ouachita | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Pepper Jack | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tincan Man | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Ridge | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Everydayschristmas | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runciman | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tin Delay | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muffin Nuts | 1.60 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Loki | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap a Miracle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Big Cane | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drewsizzle | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steppin’ Outonher | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warned | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Philly | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | So Sorry Ruston | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bet Again | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tin Roof Rusted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sermononthemount | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rather Precocious | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Ethan Run | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floor General | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mean Cannon | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friendofthecourt | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Storm | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dried Pepper | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oxbow Wind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Last Battle | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cheeseburger | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Calculate | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sandbagger Al | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chitto | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Destinedtobeastar | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Frank the Mayor | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Dynamo Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shake It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Have a Plan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Best Little Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Soul Ready | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Moonfield | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andthebandplayedon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Ten Count Out | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New Orleans Spice | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Belacqua | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Swiftown Miss | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tiz the Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Halostar | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Book | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Power Jet | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Rose | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luckenbacher | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love to Singh | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlies Ticket | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Langs Day | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tornado Ellie | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arancia | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Tigre | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Charlie | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fayola | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broke and Praying | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Racelynn | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causewaycat | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Heart Dominus | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Don’t Blink Twice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Private Eye | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lawsuit Lucy | 1.40 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.