Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 29, 2020

November 29, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Neon Sky 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Bayou Jam 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 V Man 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 4 Lead Star 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Dream Halo 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Humphrey 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Richie Gary 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Queen of the Lane 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Princesa Blanca 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Goingtoagogo 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Linda Got Lucky 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 I Got Wings 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Annie’s Shenanigan 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bee House 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Miss Jamie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Schnell 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Get Them Justin 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Creole Charlie 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Janets Jay Jay 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Jimmy Two Times 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Foolish Dreams 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Madame Ready 4.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Go Big Green 3.50 2.4 5-1
11 6 Carson’s Princess 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 4 Montpelier 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Italian Twin 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Sweet Workout 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Aunt Joie 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Bunnings (BRZ) 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bee a Winner 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sisi 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Transient (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Purgerator 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Available Star 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Southern Light 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mr. Old Hat 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Adieu Galaxy 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 8 C F Johnathan 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 9 Ide Like Hawaii 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Youcanbetonme 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Starvictory 30.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Rivers Rising 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Prince Carlos 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Prairie 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Clarestown 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Invincibility 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Emerald Forest 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Cees Get Degrees 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 8 Blushinstreetdevil 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Citadel 15.00 6 11-1
3 2 Leroy Jenkins 20.00 8 15-1
1 3 Foliage 2.50 SCRATCH
5 6 California Holiday 8.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Heals the Soul 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pure Valor 4.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 Richard Ronald 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Farewell Time 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Disapproval 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Whacudposblygowrng 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lenape Drive 5.00 5.9 11-1
12 11 Caeus in Pasadena 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Smooth Gallop 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Mr Makeithappen 12.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Luvmewhenimgone 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Flash Dancerluck 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Harbor Knight 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 7 Walk Me Home 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 2 Adventuring 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 4 Rumpus 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Calle de Llora 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 5 Becca’s Rocket 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 6 Peace Nicker 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Megan’s Clara 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Point of Infinity 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Baby Maybe 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Unwanted Input 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Laugh It Off 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Run Girl Run 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Poets Princess 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 6 Fancy Gi Gi 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Diamond Lily 2.00 2.8 5-1
1A 5 Staceys Racey 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 4 Presley Fire 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Talented Tapper 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Danza Lauren 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Business Lady 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 7 J Z’s First 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 D’wild Baroness 3.50 3.9 7-1
11 10 Roman Jewels 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Dreaming of Curlin 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Custom Cut 6.00 4.5 8-1
10 9 Cajun Music 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tuffology 12.00 6.6 12-1
12 11 Madison’s Place 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Star’s Dream 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Iona Guitar 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Emery’s Dream 20.00 9.7 18-1
9 8 Floatie 30.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Mane Priority 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sandy’s Wager 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Our Lil Rascal 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lucky Linz 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Lil Peastoch 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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